National League | Gameweek 33

Feb 18, 2025 at 7.45pm UK

Gateshead International Stadium

Gateshead
4 - 3
Sutton

Roles (16', 81'), Malcolm (35'), Hannant (75')
Horton (45+6')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Davies (45+3'), Kirk (49'), Simper (58')
Davies (72'), Topalloj (73')

Coverage of the National League clash between Gateshead and Sutton United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Gateshead

All competitions

Last Game: Gateshead 0-1 Altrincham
Saturday, February 15 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Sutton United

All competitions

Last Game: Oldham 0-0 Sutton
Saturday, February 15 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gateshead win with a probability of 46.08%. A win for Sutton United had a probability of 30.43% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gateshead win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.87%) and 2-0 (6.78%). The likeliest Sutton United win was 1-2 (7.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.71%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gateshead would win this match.

Result
Gateshead	Draw	Sutton United
46.08% ( 0.09)	23.49% ( -0.05)	30.43% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 61.15% (

0.18)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.62% (

0.24)

40.37% (

-0.24)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.25% (

0.25)

62.75% (

-0.25)

Gateshead Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.18% (

0.13)

17.81% (

-0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.45% (

0.22)

48.55% (

-0.22)

Sutton United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.41% (

0.1)

25.59% (

-0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.53% (

0.14)

60.47% (

-0.14)

Score Analysis

Gateshead 46.08%

Sutton United 30.43%

Draw 23.48%

Gateshead	Draw	Sutton United
2-1 @ 9.25% ( 0) 1-0 @ 7.87% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 6.78% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 5.32% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 3.9% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.62% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 2.29% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.68% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.56% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.8% Total : 46.08%	1-1 @ 10.71% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 6.3% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 4.56% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 1.65% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.27% Total : 23.48%	1-2 @ 7.31% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 6.21% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 4.23% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 3.32% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.86% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.92% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.13% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 0.98% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.47% Total : 30.43%