Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gateshead win with a probability of 46.08%. A win for Sutton United had a probability of 30.43% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gateshead win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.87%) and 2-0 (6.78%). The likeliest Sutton United win was 1-2 (7.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.71%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gateshead would win this match.