Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sutton United win with a probability of 44.39%. A win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 30.96% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sutton United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.02%) and 2-0 (7.14%). The likeliest Hartlepool United win was 1-2 (7.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sutton United | Draw | Hartlepool United |
| 44.39% ( | 24.64% ( | 30.96% ( |
| Both teams to score 57.41% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.57% ( | 45.43% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.24% ( | 67.76% ( |
| Sutton United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.45% ( | 20.55% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.93% ( | 53.07% ( |
| Hartlepool United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.25% ( | 27.75% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.68% ( | 63.32% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Sutton United | Draw | Hartlepool United |
| 2-1 @ 9.15% ( 1-0 @ 9.02% ( 2-0 @ 7.14% ( 3-1 @ 4.83% ( 3-0 @ 3.77% ( 3-2 @ 3.09% ( 4-1 @ 1.91% ( 4-0 @ 1.49% ( 4-2 @ 1.22% ( Other @ 2.78% Total : 44.4% | 1-1 @ 11.56% ( 2-2 @ 5.87% ( 0-0 @ 5.7% ( 3-3 @ 1.32% ( Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.63% | 1-2 @ 7.42% ( 0-1 @ 7.31% ( 0-2 @ 4.69% ( 1-3 @ 3.17% ( 2-3 @ 2.51% ( 0-3 @ 2% ( 1-4 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.86% Total : 30.96% |