Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sutton United win with a probability of 44.39%. A win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 30.96% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sutton United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.02%) and 2-0 (7.14%). The likeliest Hartlepool United win was 1-2 (7.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Sutton United | Draw | Hartlepool United |
44.39% (![]() | 24.64% (![]() | 30.96% (![]() |
Both teams to score 57.41% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.57% (![]() | 45.43% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.24% (![]() | 67.76% (![]() |
Sutton United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.45% (![]() | 20.55% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.93% (![]() | 53.07% (![]() |
Hartlepool United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.25% (![]() | 27.75% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.68% (![]() | 63.32% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Sutton United | Draw | Hartlepool United |
2-1 @ 9.15% (![]() 1-0 @ 9.02% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 7.14% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 4.83% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 3.77% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.09% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.91% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.49% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.22% ( ![]() Other @ 2.78% Total : 44.4% | 1-1 @ 11.56% (![]() 2-2 @ 5.87% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 5.7% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.32% ( ![]() Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.63% | 1-2 @ 7.42% (![]() 0-1 @ 7.31% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 4.69% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.17% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.51% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 2% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.86% Total : 30.96% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barnet | 39 | 27 | 7 | 5 | 81 | 32 | 49 | 88 |
2 | York City | 38 | 22 | 8 | 8 | 70 | 37 | 33 | 74 |
3 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 39 | 19 | 15 | 5 | 59 | 35 | 24 | 72 |
4 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 39 | 17 | 15 | 7 | 57 | 40 | 17 | 66 |
5 | Halifax TownHalifax | 38 | 17 | 11 | 10 | 46 | 36 | 10 | 62 |
6 | Gateshead | 39 | 17 | 9 | 13 | 66 | 54 | 12 | 60 |
7 | Rochdale | 36 | 16 | 9 | 11 | 52 | 34 | 18 | 57 |
8 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 38 | 14 | 14 | 10 | 50 | 43 | 7 | 56 |
9 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 38 | 15 | 10 | 13 | 57 | 48 | 9 | 55 |
10 | Tamworth | 39 | 14 | 12 | 13 | 52 | 58 | -6 | 54 |
11 | Eastleigh | 39 | 13 | 14 | 12 | 53 | 49 | 4 | 53 |
12 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 38 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 50 | 51 | -1 | 51 |
13 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 39 | 11 | 16 | 12 | 48 | 49 | -1 | 49 |
14 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 39 | 13 | 10 | 16 | 44 | 51 | -7 | 49 |
15 | Braintree TownBraintree | 39 | 13 | 9 | 17 | 44 | 51 | -7 | 48 |
16 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 37 | 11 | 14 | 12 | 58 | 60 | -2 | 47 |
17 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 38 | 13 | 8 | 17 | 53 | 58 | -5 | 47 |
18 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 37 | 10 | 12 | 15 | 47 | 61 | -14 | 42 |
19 | Woking | 37 | 9 | 14 | 14 | 38 | 51 | -13 | 41 |
20 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 39 | 9 | 13 | 17 | 50 | 57 | -7 | 40 |
21 | Fylde | 38 | 11 | 6 | 21 | 46 | 70 | -24 | 39 |
22 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 39 | 10 | 8 | 21 | 44 | 70 | -26 | 38 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 37 | 9 | 10 | 18 | 40 | 57 | -17 | 37 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 39 | 2 | 12 | 25 | 30 | 83 | -53 | 18 |
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