Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hartlepool United win with a probability of 40.97%. A win for Braintree Town had a probability of 33.19% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hartlepool United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.73%) and 0-2 (6.96%). The likeliest Braintree Town win was 1-0 (8.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Braintree Town | Draw | Hartlepool United |
| 33.19% ( | 25.84% ( | 40.97% ( |
| Both teams to score 54.25% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.07% ( | 49.92% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.09% ( | 71.91% ( |
| Braintree Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.48% ( | 28.52% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.69% ( | 64.3% ( |
| Hartlepool United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.89% ( | 24.11% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.6% ( | 58.4% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Braintree Town | Draw | Hartlepool United |
| 1-0 @ 8.63% ( 2-1 @ 7.7% ( 2-0 @ 5.41% ( 3-1 @ 3.22% ( 3-2 @ 2.29% ( 3-0 @ 2.26% ( 4-1 @ 1.01% ( Other @ 2.68% Total : 33.19% | 1-1 @ 12.27% 0-0 @ 6.88% ( 2-2 @ 5.48% ( 3-3 @ 1.09% ( Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.84% | 0-1 @ 9.78% ( 1-2 @ 8.73% ( 0-2 @ 6.96% ( 1-3 @ 4.14% ( 0-3 @ 3.3% ( 2-3 @ 2.6% ( 1-4 @ 1.47% ( 0-4 @ 1.17% ( 2-4 @ 0.92% ( Other @ 1.89% Total : 40.97% |