National League | Gameweek 29

Jan 25, 2025 at 3pm UK

The Borough Sports Ground

Sutton
1 - 0
Eastleigh

Davies (60' pen.)
Barbrook (85'), Vaz (89')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Maguire (45+1'), Brindley (68'), Francillette (90')

Coverage of the National League clash between Sutton United and Eastleigh.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sutton United

All competitions

Last Game: York City 1-2 Sutton
Saturday, January 18 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Eastleigh

All competitions

Last Game: Eastleigh 1-2 Altrincham
Saturday, January 18 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sutton United win with a probability of 47.49%. A win for Eastleigh had a probability of 27.49% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sutton United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.37%) and 2-0 (8.23%). The likeliest Eastleigh win was 0-1 (7.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sutton United in this match.

Result
Sutton United	Draw	Eastleigh
47.49% ( -0.75)	25.03% ( -0.15)	27.49% ( 0.9)

Both teams to score 53.92% (

1.19)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51% (

1.22)

49% (

-1.21)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.92% (

1.09)

71.08% (

-1.09)

Sutton United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.34% (

0.18)

20.66% (

-0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.75% (

0.27)

53.25% (

-0.27)

Eastleigh Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.96% (

1.35)

32.04% (

-1.35)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.49% (

1.51)

68.51% (

-1.5)

Score Analysis

Sutton United 47.48%

Eastleigh 27.49%

Draw 25.02%

Sutton United	Draw	Eastleigh
1-0 @ 10.43% ( -0.48) 2-1 @ 9.37% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 8.23% ( -0.33) 3-1 @ 4.92% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 4.33% ( -0.15) 3-2 @ 2.8% ( 0.11) 4-1 @ 1.94% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.71% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 1.11% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.65% Total : 47.48%	1-1 @ 11.88% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 6.62% ( -0.34) 2-2 @ 5.33% ( 0.18) 3-3 @ 1.06% ( 0.08) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.02%	0-1 @ 7.54% ( -0.1) 1-2 @ 6.76% ( 0.2) 0-2 @ 4.29% ( 0.1) 1-3 @ 2.57% ( 0.17) 2-3 @ 2.02% ( 0.14) 0-3 @ 1.63% ( 0.1) Other @ 2.68% Total : 27.49%