National League | Gameweek 28

Jan 18, 2025 at 3pm UK

Silverlake Stadium

Eastleigh
1 - 2
Altrincham

Francillette (27')
Humphries (80'), Semenyo (90+2')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Newby (6'), Crawford (71')
(25'), Olsen (41'), Ross (90+2')

Coverage of the National League clash between Eastleigh and Altrincham.

Form, Standings, Stats

Eastleigh

All competitions

Last Game: Solihull 0-1 Eastleigh
Tuesday, January 14 at 7.45pm in National League

Goals
for

Altrincham

All competitions

Last Game: Altrincham 4-0 Maidenhead
Tuesday, January 14 at 7.45pm in National League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Altrincham win with a probability of 46.99%. A win for Eastleigh had a probability of 28.15% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Altrincham win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.35%) and 0-2 (7.98%). The likeliest Eastleigh win was 1-0 (7.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Altrincham would win this match.

Result
Eastleigh	Draw	Altrincham
28.15% ( 0.05)	24.86% ( 0.05)	46.99% ( -0.09)

Both teams to score 54.94% (

-0.12)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.11% (

-0.18)

47.89% (

0.18)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.93% (

-0.16)

70.07% (

0.17)

Eastleigh Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.04% (

-0.05)

30.96% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.74% (

-0.07)

67.26% (

0.07)

Altrincham Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.57% (

-0.11)

20.43% (

0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.13% (

-0.18)

52.87% (

0.18)

Score Analysis

Eastleigh 28.15%

Altrincham 46.99%

Draw 24.86%

Eastleigh	Draw	Altrincham
1-0 @ 7.42% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 6.9% ( 0) 2-0 @ 4.35% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 2.7% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.14% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 1.7% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.94% Total : 28.15%	1-1 @ 11.77% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.33% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 5.48% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.13% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.86%	0-1 @ 10.04% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 9.35% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 7.98% ( 0) 1-3 @ 4.95% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 4.22% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.9% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.97% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 1.68% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.15% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.74% Total : 46.99%