Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Altrincham win with a probability of 46.99%. A win for Eastleigh had a probability of 28.15% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Altrincham win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.35%) and 0-2 (7.98%). The likeliest Eastleigh win was 1-0 (7.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Altrincham would win this match.