National League | Gameweek 36

Mar 4, 2025 at 7.45pm UK

Mill Farm Stadium

Fylde
2 - 1
Hartlepool

Massey (12'), Jolley (19')
Davis (4'), Massey (15'), Hugill (40'), Riley (63')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Ferguson (4')
Hunter (26'), Miley (90+3')

Coverage of the National League clash between Fylde and Hartlepool United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fylde

All competitions

Last Game: Gateshead 1-1 Fylde
Saturday, March 1 at 5.30pm in National League

Goals
for

Hartlepool United

All competitions

Last Game: Hartlepool 0-1 York City
Saturday, March 1 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hartlepool United win with a probability of 45.62%. A win for Fylde had a probability of 30.75% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hartlepool United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.94%) and 0-2 (6.77%). The likeliest Fylde win was 2-1 (7.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.

Result
Fylde	Draw	Hartlepool United
30.75% ( 0.01)	23.62% ( -0.15)	45.62% ( 0.14)

Both teams to score 60.86% (

0.55)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.16% (

0.71)

40.83% (

-0.72)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.78% (

0.73)

63.22% (

-0.73)

Fylde Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.38% (

0.36)

25.61% (

-0.36)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.5% (

0.49)

60.5% (

-0.49)

Hartlepool United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.82% (

0.34)

18.18% (

-0.34)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.83% (

0.57)

49.17% (

-0.57)

Score Analysis

Fylde 30.75%

Hartlepool United 45.62%

Draw 23.62%

Fylde	Draw	Hartlepool United
2-1 @ 7.36% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 6.34% ( -0.14) 2-0 @ 4.32% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 3.34% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.85% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 1.96% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.14% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 0.97% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.47% Total : 30.75%	1-1 @ 10.81% ( -0.12) 2-2 @ 6.28% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 4.66% ( -0.15) 3-3 @ 1.62% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.26% Total : 23.62%	1-2 @ 9.22% ( -0) 0-1 @ 7.94% ( -0.17) 0-2 @ 6.77% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 5.24% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 3.85% 2-3 @ 3.57% ( 0.07) 1-4 @ 2.23% ( 0.05) 0-4 @ 1.64% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 1.52% ( 0.05) Other @ 3.65% Total : 45.62%