National League | Gameweek 34

Feb 22, 2025 at 3pm UK

The EBB Stadium.

Aldershot
3 - 2
Hartlepool

Ferguson (60' og.), Hargreaves (68'), Barrett (90+5')
Hargreaves (15')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Frost (20' og.), Dieseruvwe (80')
Waterfall (47'), Featherstone (84')

Coverage of the National League clash between Aldershot Town and Hartlepool United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Aldershot Town

All competitions

Last Game: Southend 2-1 Aldershot
Tuesday, February 18 at 8pm in National League

Goals
for

Hartlepool United

All competitions

Last Game: Hartlepool 1-2 Altrincham
Tuesday, February 18 at 7.45pm in National League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aldershot Town win with a probability of 40.56%. A win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 35.43% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aldershot Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.48%) and 2-0 (5.93%). The likeliest Hartlepool United win was 1-2 (8.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.98%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aldershot Town would win this match.

Result
Aldershot Town	Draw	Hartlepool United
40.56% ( -0.96)	24.01% ( 0.2)	35.43% ( 0.76)

Both teams to score 61.19% (

-0.58)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.87% (

-0.82)

41.13% (

0.82)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.47% (

-0.84)

63.52% (

0.84)

Aldershot Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.51% (

-0.78)

20.48% (

0.79)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.04% (

-1.26)

52.96% (

1.26)

Hartlepool United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.96% (

0.03)

23.04% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.14% (

0.05)

56.86% (

-0.05)

Score Analysis

Aldershot Town 40.56%

Hartlepool United 35.43%

Draw 24.01%

Aldershot Town	Draw	Hartlepool United
2-1 @ 8.71% ( -0.09) 1-0 @ 7.48% ( 0.1) 2-0 @ 5.93% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 4.6% ( -0.16) 3-2 @ 3.38% ( -0.12) 3-0 @ 3.14% ( -0.11) 4-1 @ 1.82% ( -0.11) 4-2 @ 1.34% ( -0.08) 4-0 @ 1.24% ( -0.08) Other @ 2.91% Total : 40.56%	1-1 @ 10.98% ( 0.16) 2-2 @ 6.39% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 4.72% ( 0.17) 3-3 @ 1.65% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.26% Total : 24.01%	1-2 @ 8.06% ( 0.12) 0-1 @ 6.93% ( 0.26) 0-2 @ 5.09% ( 0.2) 1-3 @ 3.95% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 3.13% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 2.49% ( 0.1) 1-4 @ 1.45% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 1.15% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 0.91% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.29% Total : 35.43%