Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hartlepool United win with a probability of 44.81%. A win for Altrincham had a probability of 28.78% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hartlepool United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.97%) and 2-0 (8.22%). The likeliest Altrincham win was 0-1 (8.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Hartlepool United | Draw | Altrincham |
| 44.81% ( | 26.41% ( | 28.78% ( |
| Both teams to score 50.51% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.15% ( | 53.85% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.69% ( | 75.31% ( |
| Hartlepool United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.07% ( | 23.93% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.85% ( | 58.15% ( |
| Altrincham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.4% ( | 33.6% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.76% ( | 70.24% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Hartlepool United | Draw | Altrincham |
| 1-0 @ 11.49% ( 2-1 @ 8.97% ( 2-0 @ 8.22% ( 3-1 @ 4.27% ( 3-0 @ 3.92% ( 3-2 @ 2.33% ( 4-1 @ 1.53% ( 4-0 @ 1.4% ( Other @ 2.68% Total : 44.81% | 1-1 @ 12.54% ( 0-0 @ 8.04% ( 2-2 @ 4.89% ( Other @ 0.94% Total : 26.41% | 0-1 @ 8.77% ( 1-2 @ 6.84% ( 0-2 @ 4.78% ( 1-3 @ 2.49% ( 2-3 @ 1.78% ( 0-3 @ 1.74% ( Other @ 2.38% Total : 28.78% |