Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southend United win with a probability of 57.47%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Aldershot Town had a probability of 20.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southend United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.92%) and 2-0 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.53%), while for an Aldershot Town win it was 0-1 (5.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Southend United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Southend United | Draw | Aldershot Town |
| 57.47% ( | 22.31% ( | 20.22% ( |
| Both teams to score 54.3% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.54% ( | 44.46% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.17% ( | 66.83% ( |
| Southend United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.78% ( | 15.21% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.14% ( | 43.86% ( |
| Aldershot Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.05% ( | 35.95% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.27% ( | 72.73% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Southend United | Draw | Aldershot Town |
| 1-0 @ 10.29% ( 2-1 @ 9.92% ( 2-0 @ 9.7% ( 3-1 @ 6.23% ( 3-0 @ 6.09% ( 3-2 @ 3.19% ( 4-1 @ 2.93% ( 4-0 @ 2.87% ( 4-2 @ 1.5% ( 5-1 @ 1.1% ( 5-0 @ 1.08% ( Other @ 2.58% Total : 57.47% | 1-1 @ 10.53% ( 0-0 @ 5.47% ( 2-2 @ 5.07% ( 3-3 @ 1.09% ( Other @ 0.14% Total : 22.3% | 0-1 @ 5.6% ( 1-2 @ 5.39% ( 0-2 @ 2.86% ( 1-3 @ 1.84% ( 2-3 @ 1.73% ( 0-3 @ 0.98% ( Other @ 1.83% Total : 20.22% |