Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southend United win with a probability of 41.81%. A win for Rochdale had a probability of 32.72% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southend United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.86%) and 2-0 (6.98%). The likeliest Rochdale win was 0-1 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Southend United | Draw | Rochdale |
| 41.81% ( | 25.47% ( | 32.72% ( |
| Both teams to score 55.34% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.55% ( | 48.45% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.42% ( | 70.58% ( |
| Southend United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.96% ( | 23.04% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.14% ( | 56.86% ( |
| Rochdale Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.9% ( | 28.1% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.23% ( | 63.77% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Southend United | Draw | Rochdale |
| 1-0 @ 9.5% ( 2-1 @ 8.86% ( 2-0 @ 6.98% ( 3-1 @ 4.33% ( 3-0 @ 3.41% ( 3-2 @ 2.75% ( 4-1 @ 1.59% ( 4-0 @ 1.25% ( 4-2 @ 1.01% ( Other @ 2.12% Total : 41.81% | 1-1 @ 12.06% ( 0-0 @ 6.47% ( 2-2 @ 5.62% ( 3-3 @ 1.16% Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.47% | 0-1 @ 8.22% ( 1-2 @ 7.66% ( 0-2 @ 5.22% ( 1-3 @ 3.24% ( 2-3 @ 2.38% ( 0-3 @ 2.21% ( 1-4 @ 1.03% ( Other @ 2.78% Total : 32.72% |