Aldershot Town
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Wealdstone
Woking
Yeovil Town
Rochdale
National League | Gameweek 19
Feb 4, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Spotland Stadium
Oldham Athletic

Rochdale
0 - 1
Oldham

FT(HT: 0-1)
Fondop (17')
Kay (82')
Coverage of the National League clash between Rochdale and Oldham Athletic.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Rochdale 4-0 Yeovil
Saturday, January 25 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Fylde 1-2 Oldham
Saturday, February 1 at 3pm in National League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rochdale win with a probability of 49.56%. A win for Oldham Athletic had a probability of 25.44% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rochdale win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.47%) and 2-0 (8.88%). The likeliest Oldham Athletic win was 0-1 (7.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.

Result
RochdaleDrawOldham Athletic
49.56% (0.837 0.84)25% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)25.44% (-0.831 -0.83)
Both teams to score 52.25% (-0.72 -0.72)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.65% (-0.588 -0.59)50.35% (0.584 0.58)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.7% (-0.524 -0.52)72.29% (0.52 0.52)
Rochdale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.66% (0.11499999999999 0.11)20.33% (-0.118 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.28% (0.185 0.19)52.72% (-0.187 -0.19)
Oldham Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.59% (-1.002 -1)34.41% (0.998 1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.88% (-1.085 -1.09)71.12% (1.082 1.08)
Score Analysis
    Rochdale 49.56%
    Oldham Athletic 25.44%
    Draw 24.99%
RochdaleDrawOldham Athletic
1-0 @ 11.14% (0.3 0.3)
2-1 @ 9.47% (0.035 0.04)
2-0 @ 8.88% (0.271 0.27)
3-1 @ 5.03% (0.037 0.04)
3-0 @ 4.71% (0.16 0.16)
3-2 @ 2.68% (-0.054 -0.05)
4-1 @ 2% (0.022 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.88% (0.07 0.07)
4-2 @ 1.07% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 49.56%
1-1 @ 11.88%
0-0 @ 7% (0.164 0.16)
2-2 @ 5.05% (-0.12 -0.12)
3-3 @ 0.95% (-0.046 -0.05)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 24.99%
0-1 @ 7.46% (-0.027 -0.03)
1-2 @ 6.34% (-0.175 -0.18)
0-2 @ 3.98% (-0.125 -0.13)
1-3 @ 2.26% (-0.126 -0.13)
2-3 @ 1.8% (-0.093 -0.09)
0-3 @ 1.42% (-0.085 -0.09)
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 25.44%

How you voted: Rochdale vs Oldham

Rochdale
83.3%
Draw
16.7%
Oldham Athletic
0.0%
12
Head to Head
Apr 6, 2024 12.30pm
Gameweek 44
Oldham
1-1
Rochdale
Hope (7')
Gardner (6'), Norwood (90+5')
Mather (28')
Gordon (63'), (90+10')
Oct 21, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 16
Rochdale
3-4
Oldham
Keohane (53', 62', 82')
Sheron (16'), Green (49'), Hope (64'), Norwood (72')
Lundstram (47'), McGahey (88')
Jan 29, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 29
Oldham
0-0
Rochdale
Hunt (8'), Hart (51'), Piergianni (57')
O'Keeffe (51'), O'Connell (88')
Sep 25, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 9
Rochdale
0-1
Oldham

O'Connell (35')
Keillor-Dunn (59')
Whelan (89')
Dec 11, 2018 7pm
Round of 32
Rochdale
2-0
Oldham
Rafferty (90' pen.), Adshead (90')
Rafferty (52'), Perkins (75')

Clarke (52'), Hunt (63')
Maouche (51')