National League | Gameweek 29

Jan 25, 2025 at 3pm UK

Spotland Stadium

Rochdale
4 - 0
Yeovil

Rodney (49'), Mitchell (57' pen.), Ayinde (64'), Burger (90+4')
Beckwith (90')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Cousin-Dawson (10'), Bernard (41')

Coverage of the National League clash between Rochdale and Yeovil Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Rochdale

All competitions

Last Game: Forest Green 1-0 Rochdale
Saturday, January 18 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Yeovil Town

All competitions

Last Game: Yeovil 0-0 Gateshead
Friday, January 17 at 7.30pm in National League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rochdale win with a probability of 47.29%. A win for Yeovil Town had a probability of 27.13% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rochdale win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.27%) and 2-0 (8.51%). The likeliest Yeovil Town win was 0-1 (7.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rochdale would win this match.

Result
Rochdale	Draw	Yeovil Town
47.29% ( 0.92)	25.58% ( -0.02)	27.13% ( -0.89)

Both teams to score 51.91% (

-0.57)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.5% (

-0.44)

51.5% (

0.44)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.7% (

-0.38)

73.3% (

0.38)

Rochdale Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.22% (

0.23)

21.78% (

-0.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.02% (

0.35)

54.98% (

-0.35)

Yeovil Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.36% (

-0.93)

33.64% (

0.93)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.71% (

-1.03)

70.29% (

1.03)

Score Analysis

Rochdale 47.28%

Yeovil Town 27.13%

Draw 25.57%

Rochdale	Draw	Yeovil Town
1-0 @ 11.16% ( 0.27) 2-1 @ 9.27% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 8.51% ( 0.26) 3-1 @ 4.71% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 4.32% ( 0.16) 3-2 @ 2.57% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.8% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 1.65% ( 0.07) 4-2 @ 0.98% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.32% Total : 47.28%	1-1 @ 12.16% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.33% ( 0.13) 2-2 @ 5.05% ( -0.1) 3-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.57%	0-1 @ 7.98% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 6.63% ( -0.18) 0-2 @ 4.35% ( -0.15) 1-3 @ 2.41% ( -0.13) 2-3 @ 1.83% ( -0.09) 0-3 @ 1.58% ( -0.1) Other @ 2.35% Total : 27.13%