National League | Gameweek 38

Mar 15, 2025 at 3pm UK

Stonebridge Road

Ebbsfleet
1 - 0
Fylde

Lankshear (48')

FT(HT: 0-0)

T (68'), Sassi (90+5')

Coverage of the National League clash between Ebbsfleet and Fylde.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ebbsfleet

All competitions

Last Game: Solihull 2-1 Ebbsfleet
Saturday, March 8 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Fylde

All competitions

Last Game: Fylde 0-2 Braintree
Saturday, March 8 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ebbsfleet win with a probability of 38.28%. A win for Fylde had a probability of 36.34% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ebbsfleet win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.46%) and 2-0 (6.18%). The likeliest Fylde win was 0-1 (8.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Ebbsfleet in this match.

Result
Ebbsfleet	Draw	Fylde
38.28% ( 1.08)	25.38% ( -0.2)	36.34% ( -0.88)

Both teams to score 56.38% (

0.67)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.58% (

0.88)

47.41% (

-0.88)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.37% (

0.81)

69.63% (

-0.81)

Ebbsfleet Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.62% (

0.99)

24.38% (

-0.99)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.21% (

1.38)

58.79% (

-1.38)

Fylde Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.56% (

-0.09)

25.44% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.74% (

-0.12)

60.26% (

0.12)

Score Analysis

Ebbsfleet 38.28%

Fylde 36.34%

Draw 25.38%

Ebbsfleet	Draw	Fylde
1-0 @ 8.75% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 8.46% ( 0.15) 2-0 @ 6.18% ( 0.13) 3-1 @ 3.98% ( 0.18) 3-0 @ 2.91% ( 0.14) 3-2 @ 2.72% ( 0.12) 4-1 @ 1.4% ( 0.1) 4-0 @ 1.03% ( 0.08) 4-2 @ 0.96% ( 0.07) Other @ 1.89% Total : 38.28%	1-1 @ 11.98% ( -0.12) 0-0 @ 6.2% ( -0.23) 2-2 @ 5.79% ( 0.09) 3-3 @ 1.24% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.38%	0-1 @ 8.49% ( -0.34) 1-2 @ 8.2% ( -0.11) 0-2 @ 5.81% ( -0.25) 1-3 @ 3.74% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 2.65% ( -0.12) 2-3 @ 2.64% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 1.28% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 0.91% ( -0.04) 2-4 @ 0.9% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.71% Total : 36.34%