Aldershot Town
Altrincham
Boreham Wood
Braintree Town
Carlisle United
Eastleigh
Forest Green Rovers
Gateshead
Halifax Town
Hartlepool United
Morecambe
Rochdale
Scunthorpe United
Solihull Moors
Southend United
Sutton United
Wealdstone
Woking
Yeovil Town
Eastleigh
National League | Gameweek 36
Mar 4, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Silverlake Stadium
Ebbsfleet United

Eastleigh
2 - 0
Ebbsfleet

Maher (18'), Taylor (64')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Bolger (17'), Chapman (59'), Page (68'), Page (70')
Coverage of the National League clash between Eastleigh and Ebbsfleet.

Form, Standings, Stats

Eastleigh

All competitions
Last Game: Braintree 1-0 Eastleigh
Saturday, March 1 at 3pm in National League

Ebbsfleet

All competitions
Last Game: Ebbsfleet 2-3 Tamworth
Saturday, March 1 at 3pm in National League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eastleigh win with a probability of 51.87%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Ebbsfleet had a probability of 23.98%.

The most likely scoreline for a Eastleigh win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.67%) and 2-0 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.46%), while for a Ebbsfleet win it was 0-1 (6.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Eastleigh would win this match.

Result
EastleighDrawEbbsfleet
51.87% (0.034999999999997 0.03)24.15% (-0.195 -0.2)23.98% (0.163 0.16)
Both teams to score 53.4% (0.798 0.8)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.89% (0.966 0.97)48.11% (-0.965 -0.96)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.72% (0.879 0.88)70.27% (-0.878 -0.88)
Eastleigh Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.46% (0.383 0.38)18.53% (-0.382 -0.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.23% (0.641 0.64)49.77% (-0.64 -0.64)
Ebbsfleet Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.55% (0.675 0.67)34.44% (-0.674 -0.67)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.84% (0.713 0.71)71.16% (-0.712 -0.71)
Score Analysis
    Eastleigh 51.87%
    Ebbsfleet 23.98%
    Draw 24.15%
EastleighDrawEbbsfleet
1-0 @ 10.76% (-0.3 -0.3)
2-1 @ 9.67% (0.028 0.03)
2-0 @ 9.07% (-0.141 -0.14)
3-1 @ 5.43% (0.081 0.08)
3-0 @ 5.1% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.89% (0.095 0.1)
4-1 @ 2.29% (0.062 0.06)
4-0 @ 2.15% (0.019 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.22% (0.055 0.05)
Other @ 3.29%
Total : 51.87%
1-1 @ 11.46% (-0.11 -0.11)
0-0 @ 6.38% (-0.259 -0.26)
2-2 @ 5.15% (0.108 0.11)
3-3 @ 1.03% (0.052 0.05)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 24.15%
0-1 @ 6.8% (-0.147 -0.15)
1-2 @ 6.11% (0.056 0.06)
0-2 @ 3.63% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.17% (0.058 0.06)
2-3 @ 1.83% (0.071 0.07)
0-3 @ 1.29% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 23.98%

Head to Head
Nov 27, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 20
Ebbsfleet
0-1
Eastleigh

Chapman (58'), Stewart (86')
Quigley (61')
McCallum (63'), Brindley (74')
Feb 17, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 34
Ebbsfleet
3-0
Eastleigh
Bilongo (48'), Bingham (53'), O'Neill (62')

J (35'), Atangana (79'), Martin (90+3'), McCallum (90+5')
Oct 3, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 14
Eastleigh
5-2
Ebbsfleet
McCallum (17', 40', 74'), Quigley (52'), Maguire (90+2' pen.)
Atangana (19'), Quigley (38'), McCallum (45+6'), Mahorn (46')
McQueen (7', 89')
Domi (4'), White (21'), Solly (62')
Clifford (90+4')
Dec 7, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 30
Eastleigh
1-1
Ebbsfleet
Rendell (39')
Green (72'), Rendell (83')
Partington (86')
Weston (5')
Sutherland (45'), Payne (81'), Holmes (83'), Cordner (90')
Sep 7, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 11
Ebbsfleet
1-1
Eastleigh
Reid (37')
Weston (60'), Thomas (79')
Barnett (62')
Partington (89')