Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wealdstone win with a probability of 46.15%. A win for Ebbsfleet had a probability of 28.54% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wealdstone win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.25%) and 2-0 (8.01%). The likeliest Ebbsfleet win was 0-1 (7.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.02%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wealdstone would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Wealdstone | Draw | Ebbsfleet |
| 46.15% | 25.31% | 28.54% |
| Both teams to score 53.76% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.45% ( | 49.55% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.42% ( | 71.58% ( |
| Wealdstone Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.52% ( | 21.48% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.49% ( | 54.51% ( |
| Ebbsfleet Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.47% ( | 31.53% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.07% ( | 67.93% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Wealdstone | Draw | Ebbsfleet |
| 1-0 @ 10.41% 2-1 @ 9.25% 2-0 @ 8.01% 3-1 @ 4.74% 3-0 @ 4.11% 3-2 @ 2.74% 4-1 @ 1.82% 4-0 @ 1.58% 4-2 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.44% Total : 46.15% | 1-1 @ 12.02% 0-0 @ 6.77% ( 2-2 @ 5.34% 3-3 @ 1.05% ( Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.31% | 0-1 @ 7.82% ( 1-2 @ 6.94% 0-2 @ 4.51% 1-3 @ 2.67% 2-3 @ 2.05% ( 0-3 @ 1.74% Other @ 2.82% Total : 28.54% |