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National League | Gameweek 40
Mar 29, 2025 at 3pm UK
The Jakemans Stadium
Sutton United

Boston
2 - 1
Sutton

Rowe (22'), Gale (90+2')
Nicholson (71'), Ward (90+6'), Ward (90+6'), Ward (90+6')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Davies (29')
French (31'), Sims (45+2'), Simper (66'), Odelusi (90+2'), Odelusi (90+2')
Coverage of the National League clash between Boston United and Sutton United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Boston United

All competitions
Last Game: Boston 3-0 Southend
Tuesday, March 25 at 7.45pm in National League

Sutton United

All competitions
Last Game: Sutton 1-1 Dag & Red
Saturday, March 22 at 12.30pm in National League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sutton United win with a probability of 40.91%. A win for Boston United had a probability of 32.55% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sutton United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.62%) and 0-2 (7.25%). The likeliest Boston United win was 1-0 (9.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.

Result
Boston UnitedDrawSutton United
32.55% (0.675 0.68)26.54% (0.484 0.48)40.91% (-1.156 -1.16)
Both teams to score 51.79% (-1.305 -1.31)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.01% (-1.784 -1.78)52.99% (1.786 1.79)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.41% (-1.539 -1.54)74.59% (1.541 1.54)
Boston United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.54% (-0.443 -0.44)30.46% (0.445 0.45)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.33% (-0.527 -0.53)66.67% (0.52800000000001 0.53)
Sutton United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.48% (-1.393 -1.39)25.52% (1.396 1.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.63% (-1.945 -1.95)60.37% (1.946 1.95)
Score Analysis
    Boston United 32.55%
    Sutton United 40.9%
    Draw 26.54%
Boston UnitedDrawSutton United
1-0 @ 9.24% (0.526 0.53)
2-1 @ 7.5% (0.045 0.04)
2-0 @ 5.49% (0.249 0.25)
3-1 @ 2.97% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-0 @ 2.18% (0.073 0.07)
3-2 @ 2.03% (-0.096 -0.1)
Other @ 3.14%
Total : 32.55%
1-1 @ 12.62% (0.23 0.23)
0-0 @ 7.77% (0.533 0.53)
2-2 @ 5.12% (-0.179 -0.18)
3-3 @ 0.92% (-0.084 -0.08)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.54%
0-1 @ 10.61% (0.32 0.32)
1-2 @ 8.62% (-0.193 -0.19)
0-2 @ 7.25% (-0.072 -0.07)
1-3 @ 3.92% (-0.253 -0.25)
0-3 @ 3.3% (-0.17 -0.17)
2-3 @ 2.33% (-0.181 -0.18)
1-4 @ 1.34% (-0.145 -0.15)
0-4 @ 1.13% (-0.107 -0.11)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 40.9%

Head to Head
Sep 7, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 7
Sutton
0-3
Boston

Simper (20'), Waller (50'), French (76')
Hazel (23', 74'), Mills (68')
Woods (27'), Bostwick (33')
rhs 2.0


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