Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rochdale win with a probability of 53.24%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Boston United had a probability of 21.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rochdale win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.53%) and 2-1 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.95%), while for a Boston United win it was 0-1 (7.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.