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Rochdale
National League | Gameweek 23
Mar 18, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Spotland Stadium

Rochdale
2 - 3
Boston

Henderson (80'), Bird (88')
Beckwith (52')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Hazel (25'), Mills (28'), Knowles (69')
Green (45+1'), Richards (57')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's National League clash between Rochdale and Boston United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Oldham 1-1 Rochdale
Saturday, March 15 at 12.30pm in National League
Last Game: Braintree 0-1 Boston
Saturday, March 15 at 3pm in National League

We said: Rochdale 2-1 Boston United

With both sides in strong form, Tuesday's clash will likely to be a closely-fought contest and the victor may only win by a one-goal margin. Considering Rochdale's position in the league, it would not be surprising if they managed to take all three points against Boston United. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rochdale win with a probability of 53.24%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Boston United had a probability of 21.36%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rochdale win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.53%) and 2-1 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.95%), while for a Boston United win it was 0-1 (7.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.

Result
RochdaleDrawBoston United
53.24% (0.838 0.84) 25.4% (-0.277 -0.28) 21.36% (-0.556 -0.56)
Both teams to score 46.58% (0.073999999999998 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.45% (0.462 0.46)55.55% (-0.457 -0.46)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.28% (0.377 0.38)76.72% (-0.37299999999999 -0.37)
Rochdale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.11% (0.53700000000001 0.54)20.89% (-0.532 -0.53)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.39% (0.831 0.83)53.6% (-0.82700000000001 -0.83)
Boston United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.89% (-0.305 -0.31)41.11% (0.311 0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.34% (-0.27 -0.27)77.66% (0.27500000000001 0.28)
Score Analysis
    Rochdale 53.23%
    Boston United 21.36%
    Draw 25.4%
RochdaleDrawBoston United
1-0 @ 13.44% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
2-0 @ 10.53% (0.16 0.16)
2-1 @ 9.36% (0.058999999999999 0.06)
3-0 @ 5.5% (0.168 0.17)
3-1 @ 4.89% (0.109 0.11)
3-2 @ 2.17% (0.03 0.03)
4-0 @ 2.15% (0.099 0.1)
4-1 @ 1.91% (0.072 0.07)
Other @ 3.28%
Total : 53.23%
1-1 @ 11.95% (-0.12 -0.12)
0-0 @ 8.59% (-0.153 -0.15)
2-2 @ 4.16% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 25.4%
0-1 @ 7.63% (-0.202 -0.2)
1-2 @ 5.31% (-0.098 -0.1)
0-2 @ 3.39% (-0.119 -0.12)
1-3 @ 1.57% (-0.043 -0.04)
2-3 @ 1.23% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.01% (-0.044 -0.04)
Other @ 1.21%
Total : 21.36%

How you voted: Rochdale vs Boston

Rochdale
80.6%
Draw
13.9%
Boston United
5.6%
36
Head to Head
Aug 10, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 1
Boston
0-3
Rochdale

Mills (38'), Hill (90+1'), Hill (90+1')
Rodney (15', 40'), Henderson (90+2')
Gilmour (28'), Beckwith (45+3'), Adebayo-Rowling (53'), Allarakhia (80')
Dec 16, 2019 7.30pm
Second Round
Boston
1-2
Rochdale
Thewlis (49')
Thewlis (45'), Penny (54'), Platt (91')
Crook (4' og.), Morley (79' pen.)
Pyke (54'), Dooley (86')
Dec 1, 2019 2pm
Second Round
Rochdale
0-0
Boston
Abbott (77'), Duhaney (81')
Dec 30, 2006 3pm
Sep 23, 2006 3pm
Boston
0-3
Rochdale

Talbot (8')
Doolan (90'), Dagnall (7', 33')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barnet45309694385699
2York City45289893425193
3Forest Green RoversForest Green452216768412782
4Rochdale4420111368422671
5Oldham AthleticOldham4518161162481470
6Halifax TownHalifax451913134943670
7Southend UnitedSouthend4517161259481167
8Gateshead45199177668866
9AltrinchamAltrincham451712166761663
10Tamworth451712166471-763
11Eastleigh451417145859-159
12Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool451417145861-359
13Sutton UnitedSutton451514165863-559
14Solihull MoorsSolihull44169196065-557
15Woking451318145158-757
16Yeovil TownYeovil451511195058-856
17Boston UnitedBoston451510205464-1055
18Aldershot TownAldershot451315176782-1554
19Braintree TownBraintree451411204959-1053
20Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red451215186061-151
21WealdstoneWealdstone451214195375-2250
22Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead451310225475-2149
23Fylde45117275082-3240
24Ebbsfleet45313293896-5822


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