National League | Gameweek 23

Mar 18, 2025 at 7.45pm UK

Spotland Stadium

Rochdale
2 - 3
Boston

Henderson (80'), Bird (88')
Beckwith (52')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Hazel (25'), Mills (28'), Knowles (69')
Green (45+1'), Richards (57')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's National League clash between Rochdale and Boston United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Rochdale

All competitions

Last Game: Oldham 1-1 Rochdale
Saturday, March 15 at 12.30pm in National League

Goals
for

Boston United

All competitions

Last Game: Braintree 0-1 Boston
Saturday, March 15 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rochdale win with a probability of 53.24%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Boston United had a probability of 21.36%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rochdale win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.53%) and 2-1 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.95%), while for a Boston United win it was 0-1 (7.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.

Result
Rochdale	Draw	Boston United
53.24% ( 0.84)	25.4% ( -0.28)	21.36% ( -0.56)

Both teams to score 46.58% (

0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.45% (

0.46)

55.55% (

-0.46)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.28% (

0.38)

76.72% (

-0.37)

Rochdale Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.11% (

0.54)

20.89% (

-0.53)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.39% (

0.83)

53.6% (

-0.83)

Boston United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.89% (

-0.31)

41.11% (

0.31)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.34% (

-0.27)

77.66% (

0.28)

Score Analysis

Rochdale 53.23%

Boston United 21.36%

Draw 25.4%

Rochdale	Draw	Boston United
1-0 @ 13.44% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 10.53% ( 0.16) 2-1 @ 9.36% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 5.5% ( 0.17) 3-1 @ 4.89% ( 0.11) 3-2 @ 2.17% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 2.15% ( 0.1) 4-1 @ 1.91% ( 0.07) Other @ 3.28% Total : 53.23%	1-1 @ 11.95% ( -0.12) 0-0 @ 8.59% ( -0.15) 2-2 @ 4.16% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.7% Total : 25.4%	0-1 @ 7.63% ( -0.2) 1-2 @ 5.31% ( -0.1) 0-2 @ 3.39% ( -0.12) 1-3 @ 1.57% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.23% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.01% ( -0.04) Other @ 1.21% Total : 21.36%