Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rochdale win with a probability of 53.24%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Boston United had a probability of 21.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rochdale win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.53%) and 2-1 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.95%), while for a Boston United win it was 0-1 (7.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Rochdale | Draw | Boston United |
53.24% (![]() | 25.4% (![]() | 21.36% (![]() |
Both teams to score 46.58% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.45% (![]() | 55.55% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.28% (![]() | 76.72% (![]() |
Rochdale Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.11% (![]() | 20.89% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.39% (![]() | 53.6% (![]() |
Boston United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.89% (![]() | 41.11% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.34% (![]() | 77.66% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Rochdale | Draw | Boston United |
1-0 @ 13.44% (![]() 2-0 @ 10.53% ( ![]() 2-1 @ 9.36% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 5.5% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 4.89% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.17% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 2.15% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.91% ( ![]() Other @ 3.28% Total : 53.23% | 1-1 @ 11.95% (![]() 0-0 @ 8.59% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.16% ( ![]() Other @ 0.7% Total : 25.4% | 0-1 @ 7.63% (![]() 1-2 @ 5.31% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 3.39% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 1.57% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.23% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.01% ( ![]() Other @ 1.21% Total : 21.36% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barnet | 45 | 30 | 9 | 6 | 94 | 38 | 56 | 99 |
2 | York City | 45 | 28 | 9 | 8 | 93 | 42 | 51 | 93 |
3 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 45 | 22 | 16 | 7 | 68 | 41 | 27 | 82 |
4 | Rochdale | 44 | 20 | 11 | 13 | 68 | 42 | 26 | 71 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 45 | 18 | 16 | 11 | 62 | 48 | 14 | 70 |
6 | Halifax TownHalifax | 45 | 19 | 13 | 13 | 49 | 43 | 6 | 70 |
7 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 45 | 17 | 16 | 12 | 59 | 48 | 11 | 67 |
8 | Gateshead | 45 | 19 | 9 | 17 | 76 | 68 | 8 | 66 |
9 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 45 | 17 | 12 | 16 | 67 | 61 | 6 | 63 |
10 | Tamworth | 45 | 17 | 12 | 16 | 64 | 71 | -7 | 63 |
11 | Eastleigh | 45 | 14 | 17 | 14 | 58 | 59 | -1 | 59 |
12 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 45 | 14 | 17 | 14 | 58 | 61 | -3 | 59 |
13 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 45 | 15 | 14 | 16 | 58 | 63 | -5 | 59 |
14 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 44 | 16 | 9 | 19 | 60 | 65 | -5 | 57 |
15 | Woking | 45 | 13 | 18 | 14 | 51 | 58 | -7 | 57 |
16 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 45 | 15 | 11 | 19 | 50 | 58 | -8 | 56 |
17 | Boston UnitedBoston | 45 | 15 | 10 | 20 | 54 | 64 | -10 | 55 |
18 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 45 | 13 | 15 | 17 | 67 | 82 | -15 | 54 |
19 | Braintree TownBraintree | 45 | 14 | 11 | 20 | 49 | 59 | -10 | 53 |
20 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 45 | 12 | 15 | 18 | 60 | 61 | -1 | 51 |
21 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 45 | 12 | 14 | 19 | 53 | 75 | -22 | 50 |
22 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 45 | 13 | 10 | 22 | 54 | 75 | -21 | 49 |
23 | Fylde | 45 | 11 | 7 | 27 | 50 | 82 | -32 | 40 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 45 | 3 | 13 | 29 | 38 | 96 | -58 | 22 |
> National League Full Table |