Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gateshead win with a probability of 43.66%. A win for Rochdale had a probability of 31.61% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gateshead win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.98%) and 0-2 (7.02%). The likeliest Rochdale win was 2-1 (7.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Rochdale | Draw | Gateshead |
| 31.61% ( | 24.74% ( | 43.66% ( |
| Both teams to score 57.38% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.41% ( | 45.59% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.08% ( | 67.92% ( |
| Rochdale Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.59% ( | 27.41% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.11% ( | 62.89% ( |
| Gateshead Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.05% ( | 20.95% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.3% ( | 53.7% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Rochdale | Draw | Gateshead |
| 2-1 @ 7.52% ( 1-0 @ 7.43% ( 2-0 @ 4.81% ( 3-1 @ 3.24% ( 3-2 @ 2.53% ( 3-0 @ 2.08% ( 4-1 @ 1.05% ( Other @ 2.95% Total : 31.61% | 1-1 @ 11.61% ( 2-2 @ 5.88% ( 0-0 @ 5.74% ( 3-3 @ 1.32% ( Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.73% | 1-2 @ 9.08% ( 0-1 @ 8.98% ( 0-2 @ 7.02% ( 1-3 @ 4.73% ( 0-3 @ 3.66% ( 2-3 @ 3.06% ( 1-4 @ 1.85% ( 0-4 @ 1.43% ( 2-4 @ 1.2% ( Other @ 2.67% Total : 43.66% |