Aldershot Town
Altrincham
Boreham Wood
Braintree Town
Carlisle United
Eastleigh
Forest Green Rovers
Gateshead
Halifax Town
Hartlepool United
Morecambe
Rochdale
Scunthorpe United
Solihull Moors
Southend United
Sutton United
Wealdstone
Woking
Yeovil Town
National League | Gameweek 26
Feb 25, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
The Lamb Ground
Rochdale

Tamworth
1 - 1
Rochdale

Waller (43' og.)
Tonks (35'), Singh (90')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Mitchell (90+1')
Coverage of the National League clash between Tamworth and Rochdale.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Tamworth 1-1 Southend
Saturday, February 22 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Rochdale 0-4 Barnet
Saturday, February 22 at 3pm in National League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rochdale win with a probability of 46.2%. A win for Tamworth had a probability of 27.6% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rochdale win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.09%) and 0-2 (8.52%). The likeliest Tamworth win was 1-0 (8.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.

Result
TamworthDrawRochdale
27.6% (0.023 0.02)26.2% (0.471 0.47)46.2% (-0.498 -0.5)
Both teams to score 50.36% (-1.405 -1.41)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.31% (-1.839 -1.84)53.68% (1.836 1.84)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.82% (-1.572 -1.57)75.17% (1.569 1.57)
Tamworth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.57% (-0.95700000000001 -0.96)34.43% (0.954 0.95)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.86% (-1.035 -1.04)71.14% (1.03 1.03)
Rochdale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.8% (-1.012 -1.01)23.2% (1.008 1.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.9% (-1.497 -1.5)57.1% (1.495 1.5)
Score Analysis
    Tamworth 27.6%
    Rochdale 46.2%
    Draw 26.2%
TamworthDrawRochdale
1-0 @ 8.52% (0.387 0.39)
2-1 @ 6.63% (-0.063 -0.06)
2-0 @ 4.54% (0.092000000000001 0.09)
3-1 @ 2.36% (-0.085 -0.09)
3-2 @ 1.72% (-0.116 -0.12)
3-0 @ 1.61% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 27.6%
1-1 @ 12.44% (0.21 0.21)
0-0 @ 7.99% (0.56 0.56)
2-2 @ 4.85% (-0.195 -0.2)
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 26.2%
0-1 @ 11.67% (0.49 0.49)
1-2 @ 9.09% (-0.122 -0.12)
0-2 @ 8.52% (0.106 0.11)
1-3 @ 4.43% (-0.196 -0.2)
0-3 @ 4.15% (-0.073 -0.07)
2-3 @ 2.36% (-0.17 -0.17)
1-4 @ 1.62% (-0.123 -0.12)
0-4 @ 1.52% (-0.074 -0.07)
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 46.2%

Head to Head
Dec 17, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 21
Rochdale
3-0
Tamworth
Gilmour (73'), Gordon (80'), Rodney (87')
Barlow (59'), East (82')

Tonks (68'), Crompton (70')
Cullinane-Liburd (59')