Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rochdale win with a probability of 46.2%. A win for Tamworth had a probability of 27.6% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rochdale win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.09%) and 0-2 (8.52%). The likeliest Tamworth win was 1-0 (8.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Tamworth | Draw | Rochdale |
| 27.6% ( | 26.2% ( | 46.2% ( |
| Both teams to score 50.36% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.31% ( | 53.68% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.82% ( | 75.17% ( |
| Tamworth Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.57% ( | 34.43% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.86% ( | 71.14% ( |
| Rochdale Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.8% ( | 23.2% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.9% ( | 57.1% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Tamworth | Draw | Rochdale |
| 1-0 @ 8.52% ( 2-1 @ 6.63% ( 2-0 @ 4.54% ( 3-1 @ 2.36% ( 3-2 @ 1.72% ( 3-0 @ 1.61% ( Other @ 2.21% Total : 27.6% | 1-1 @ 12.44% ( 0-0 @ 7.99% ( 2-2 @ 4.85% ( Other @ 0.93% Total : 26.2% | 0-1 @ 11.67% ( 1-2 @ 9.09% ( 0-2 @ 8.52% ( 1-3 @ 4.43% ( 0-3 @ 4.15% ( 2-3 @ 2.36% ( 1-4 @ 1.62% ( 0-4 @ 1.52% ( Other @ 2.84% Total : 46.2% |