National League | Gameweek 25

Mar 11, 2025 at 7.45pm UK

Spotland Stadium

Rochdale
3 - 0
Altrincham

Barlow (64'), Bird (67'), Mitchell (82')
Gilmour (45+1'), Gilmour (45+1'), McBride (56'), McBride (56')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Marriott (69'), Gilmour (80'), Southern-Cooper (80')

Coverage of the National League clash between Rochdale and Altrincham.

Form, Standings, Stats

Rochdale

All competitions

Last Game: Rochdale 4-1 Wealdstone
Saturday, March 8 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Altrincham

All competitions

Last Game: Southend 2-1 Altrincham
Saturday, March 8 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rochdale win with a probability of 51.66%. A win for Altrincham had a probability of 24.61% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rochdale win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.7%) and 2-0 (8.64%). The likeliest Altrincham win was 0-1 (6.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.19%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rochdale would win this match.

Result
Rochdale	Draw	Altrincham
51.66% ( 5.81)	23.72% ( -1.12)	24.61% ( -4.69)

Both teams to score 55.51% (

-0.28)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.34% (

1.46)

45.66% (

-1.46)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.02% (

1.38)

67.98% (

-1.37)

Rochdale Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.32% (

2.92)

17.68% (

-2.92)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.68% (

4.83)

48.32% (

-4.83)

Altrincham Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.44% (

-2.83)

32.56% (

2.84)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.9% (

-3.31)

69.1% (

3.31)

Score Analysis

Rochdale 51.66%

Altrincham 24.61%

Draw 23.72%

Rochdale	Draw	Altrincham
1-0 @ 9.98% ( 0.3) 2-1 @ 9.7% ( 0.43) 2-0 @ 8.64% ( 1) 3-1 @ 5.6% ( 0.72) 3-0 @ 4.99% ( 0.97) 3-2 @ 3.14% ( 0.18) 4-1 @ 2.43% ( 0.5) 4-0 @ 2.16% ( 0.57) 4-2 @ 1.36% ( 0.19) Other @ 3.67% Total : 51.66%	1-1 @ 11.19% ( -0.54) 0-0 @ 5.76% ( -0.37) 2-2 @ 5.44% ( -0.18) 3-3 @ 1.18% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.16% Total : 23.72%	0-1 @ 6.46% ( -0.97) 1-2 @ 6.28% ( -0.84) 0-2 @ 3.62% ( -0.88) 1-3 @ 2.35% ( -0.53) 2-3 @ 2.03% ( -0.24) 0-3 @ 1.36% ( -0.47) Other @ 2.51% Total : 24.61%