Aldershot Town
Altrincham
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Braintree Town
Carlisle United
Eastleigh
Forest Green Rovers
Gateshead
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Hartlepool United
Morecambe
Rochdale
Scunthorpe United
Solihull Moors
Southend United
Sutton United
Wealdstone
Woking
Yeovil Town
Oldham Athletic
National League | Gameweek 38
Mar 15, 2025 at 12.30pm UK
Boundary Park
Rochdale

Oldham
1 - 1
Rochdale

Yoganathan (85')
Pett (31'), Conlon (35')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Bird (5')
Coverage of the National League clash between Oldham Athletic and Rochdale.

Form, Standings, Stats

Oldham Athletic

All competitions
Last Game: Oldham 2-0 Eastleigh
Tuesday, March 11 at 7.45pm in National League

Rochdale

All competitions
Last Game: Rochdale 3-0 Altrincham
Tuesday, March 11 at 7.45pm in National League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rochdale win with a probability of 45.9%. A win for Oldham Athletic had a probability of 28.06% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rochdale win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.11%) and 0-2 (8.35%). The likeliest Oldham Athletic win was 1-0 (8.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.

Result
Oldham AthleticDrawRochdale
28.06% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)26.04% (0.004999999999999 0)45.9% (0.084000000000003 0.08)
Both teams to score 51.16% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.21% (-0.065000000000005 -0.07)52.8% (0.071000000000005 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.58% (-0.055 -0.05)74.42% (0.060000000000002 0.06)
Oldham Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.41% (-0.09899999999999 -0.1)33.6% (0.104 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.76% (-0.11 -0.11)70.24% (0.116 0.12)
Rochdale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.05% (0.012 0.01)22.96% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.26% (0.014000000000003 0.01)56.74% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Oldham Athletic 28.06%
    Rochdale 45.9%
    Draw 26.04%
Oldham AthleticDrawRochdale
1-0 @ 8.41%
2-1 @ 6.75% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-0 @ 4.59% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-1 @ 2.46% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.81% (-0.01 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.67% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 28.06%
1-1 @ 12.38% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.71% (0.021 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.97% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 0.98%
Total : 26.04%
0-1 @ 11.35% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
1-2 @ 9.11% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 8.35% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
1-3 @ 4.47% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 4.1% (0.014 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.44% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.64% (0.002 0)
0-4 @ 1.51% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 45.9%

Head to Head
Feb 4, 2025 7.45pm
Gameweek 19
Rochdale
0-1
Oldham
Fondop (17')
Kay (82')
Apr 6, 2024 12.30pm
Gameweek 44
Oldham
1-1
Rochdale
Hope (7')
Gardner (6'), Norwood (90+5')
Mather (28')
Gordon (63'), (90+10')
Oct 21, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 16
Rochdale
3-4
Oldham
Keohane (53', 62', 82')
Sheron (16'), Green (49'), Hope (64'), Norwood (72')
Lundstram (47'), McGahey (88')
Jan 29, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 29
Oldham
0-0
Rochdale
Hunt (8'), Hart (51'), Piergianni (57')
O'Keeffe (51'), O'Connell (88')
> Preview
Sep 25, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 9
Rochdale
0-1
Oldham

O'Connell (35')
Keillor-Dunn (59')
Whelan (89')