National League | Gameweek 26

Mar 11, 2025 at 7.45pm UK

Boundary Park

Oldham
2 - 0
Eastleigh

Waters (8'), Caprice (73')
Pritchard (90+2')

FT(HT: 1-0)

McCallum (74')
Tshikuna (90+3')

Coverage of the National League clash between Oldham Athletic and Eastleigh.

Form, Standings, Stats

Oldham Athletic

All competitions

Last Game: Tamworth 1-1 Oldham
Saturday, March 8 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Eastleigh

All competitions

Last Game: Eastleigh 1-1 Hartlepool
Saturday, March 8 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oldham Athletic win with a probability of 42.5%. A win for Eastleigh had a probability of 31.51% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oldham Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.86%) and 2-0 (7.4%). The likeliest Eastleigh win was 0-1 (8.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oldham Athletic would win this match.

Result
Oldham Athletic	Draw	Eastleigh
42.5% ( 0.05)	25.99% ( -0.02)	31.51% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 53.16% (

0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.94% (

0.09)

51.05% (

-0.09)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.09% (

0.07)

72.91% (

-0.08)

Oldham Athletic Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.16% (

0.06)

23.84% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.98% (

0.09)

58.02% (

-0.09)

Eastleigh Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.8% (

0.02)

30.19% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.65% (

0.03)

66.35% (

-0.03)

Score Analysis

Oldham Athletic 42.49%

Eastleigh 31.51%

Draw 25.98%

Oldham Athletic	Draw	Eastleigh
1-0 @ 10.31% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 8.86% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.4% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.24% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.54% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.54% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.52% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.27% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 0.91% ( 0) Other @ 1.92% Total : 42.49%	1-1 @ 12.35% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 7.2% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.31% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.01% ( 0) Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.98%	0-1 @ 8.62% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 7.4% ( -0) 0-2 @ 5.16% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.96% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.12% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.06% ( -0) Other @ 3.19% Total : 31.51%