Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hartlepool United win with a probability of 43.75%. A win for Eastleigh had a probability of 30.8% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hartlepool United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.04%) and 0-2 (7.44%). The likeliest Eastleigh win was 1-0 (8.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Eastleigh | Draw | Hartlepool United |
| 30.8% ( | 25.45% ( | 43.75% ( |
| Both teams to score 54.61% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.96% ( | 49.03% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.89% ( | 71.11% ( |
| Eastleigh Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.34% ( | 29.66% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.3% ( | 65.7% ( |
| Hartlepool United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.64% ( | 22.36% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.15% ( | 55.85% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Eastleigh | Draw | Hartlepool United |
| 1-0 @ 8.06% ( 2-1 @ 7.34% ( 2-0 @ 4.9% ( 3-1 @ 2.97% ( 3-2 @ 2.23% ( 3-0 @ 1.99% ( 4-1 @ 0.9% ( Other @ 2.42% Total : 30.8% | 1-1 @ 12.07% ( 0-0 @ 6.63% ( 2-2 @ 5.5% ( 3-3 @ 1.11% ( Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.45% | 0-1 @ 9.93% ( 1-2 @ 9.04% ( 0-2 @ 7.44% ( 1-3 @ 4.52% ( 0-3 @ 3.72% ( 2-3 @ 2.74% ( 1-4 @ 1.69% ( 0-4 @ 1.39% ( 2-4 @ 1.03% ( Other @ 2.25% Total : 43.75% |