Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hartlepool United win with a probability of 43.75%. A win for Eastleigh had a probability of 30.8% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hartlepool United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.04%) and 0-2 (7.44%). The likeliest Eastleigh win was 1-0 (8.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.