National League | Gameweek 39

Mar 22, 2025 at 3pm UK

The Northern Gas and Power Stadium

Hartlepool
4 - 1
Boston

Madine (4'), Dieseruvwe (24'), Cleary (67'), Miley (87')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Hazel (20')
Hazel (31'), Rowe (61')

Coverage of the National League clash between Hartlepool United and Boston United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hartlepool United

All competitions

Last Game: Hartlepool 1-1 Solihull
Saturday, March 15 at 5.30pm in National League

Goals
for

Boston United

All competitions

Last Game: Rochdale 2-3 Boston
Tuesday, March 18 at 7.45pm in National League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hartlepool United win with a probability of 45.54%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for Boston United had a probability of 27.15%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hartlepool United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.86%) and 2-1 (8.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.81%), while for a Boston United win it was 0-1 (9.36%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hartlepool United would win this match.

Result
Hartlepool United	Draw	Boston United
45.54% ( 0.05)	27.31% ( 0.01)	27.15% ( -0.05)

Both teams to score 46.86% (

-0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.96% (

-0.05)

58.04% (

0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.28% (

-0.04)

78.72% (

0.04)

Hartlepool United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.56% (

25.44% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.74% (

60.26% (

-0)

Boston United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.85% (

-0.07)

37.15% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.06% (

-0.07)

73.94% (

0.07)

Score Analysis

Hartlepool United 45.53%

Boston United 27.15%

Draw 27.31%

Hartlepool United	Draw	Boston United
1-0 @ 12.93% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 8.86% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 8.77% 3-0 @ 4.04% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4% 3-2 @ 1.98% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.38% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.37% Other @ 2.2% Total : 45.53%	1-1 @ 12.81% 0-0 @ 9.45% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.34% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.71% Total : 27.31%	0-1 @ 9.36% 1-2 @ 6.34% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.63% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.09% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.53% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.43% ( -0) Other @ 1.76% Total : 27.15%