Aldershot Town
Altrincham
Boreham Wood
Braintree Town
Carlisle United
Eastleigh
Forest Green Rovers
Gateshead
Halifax Town
Hartlepool United
Morecambe
Rochdale
Scunthorpe United
Solihull Moors
Southend United
Sutton United
Wealdstone
Woking
Yeovil Town
Sutton United
National League | Gameweek 35
Apr 8, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
The Borough Sports Ground
Rochdale

Sutton
1 - 0
Rochdale

Gordon (87' og.)
FT(HT: 0-0)
Coverage of the National League clash between Sutton United and Rochdale.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sutton 1-1 Southend
Saturday, April 5 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Woking 1-1 Rochdale
Tuesday, April 1 at 7.45pm in National League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rochdale win with a probability of 41.56%. A win for Sutton United had a probability of 31.22% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rochdale win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.54%) and 0-2 (7.69%). The likeliest Sutton United win was 1-0 (9.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.

Result
Sutton UnitedDrawRochdale
31.22% (-1.759 -1.76)27.22% (-0.034000000000002 -0.03)41.56% (1.792 1.79)
Both teams to score 49.27% (-0.439 -0.44)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.99% (-0.303 -0.3)56% (0.302 0.3)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.9% (-0.249 -0.25)77.09% (0.24600000000001 0.25)
Sutton United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.08% (-1.378 -1.38)32.92% (1.376 1.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.5% (-1.559 -1.56)69.5% (1.557 1.56)
Rochdale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.45% (0.83499999999999 0.83)26.55% (-0.837 -0.84)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.23% (1.094 1.09)61.76% (-1.097 -1.1)
Score Analysis
    Sutton United 31.22%
    Rochdale 41.56%
    Draw 27.21%
Sutton UnitedDrawRochdale
1-0 @ 9.71% (-0.256 -0.26)
2-1 @ 7.16% (-0.292 -0.29)
2-0 @ 5.4% (-0.355 -0.36)
3-1 @ 2.65% (-0.214 -0.21)
3-0 @ 2% (-0.214 -0.21)
3-2 @ 1.76% (-0.098 -0.1)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 31.22%
1-1 @ 12.87% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
0-0 @ 8.74% (0.101 0.1)
2-2 @ 4.74% (-0.078 -0.08)
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 27.21%
0-1 @ 11.59% (0.41 0.41)
1-2 @ 8.54% (0.18 0.18)
0-2 @ 7.69% (0.44 0.44)
1-3 @ 3.77% (0.166 0.17)
0-3 @ 3.4% (0.27 0.27)
2-3 @ 2.1% (0.015 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.25% (0.083 0.08)
0-4 @ 1.13% (0.113 0.11)
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 41.56%

How you voted: Sutton vs Rochdale

Sutton United
60.0%
Draw
0.0%
Rochdale
40.0%
5
Head to Head
Nov 9, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 17
Rochdale
2-1
Sutton
East (22'), Rodney (90+3')
Vaz (29')
Harris (45+6')
Apr 29, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 45
Rochdale
4-1
Sutton
Rodney (8', 56'), Brierley (25'), Keohane (50')
Wilson (38')
Nov 19, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 19
Sutton
1-0
Rochdale
Randall (38')
Mar 5, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 35
Sutton
3-0
Rochdale
Boldewijn (12', 45+2'), Kizzi (57')
Milsom (78')

O'Connell (22'), Dorsett (41')
Oct 23, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 14
Rochdale
3-2
Sutton
Newby (23'), Kelly (66'), Morley (90+5')
Olaofe (82'), Smith (90')
Bennett (45+2')