Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rochdale win with a probability of 41.56%. A win for Sutton United had a probability of 31.22% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rochdale win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.54%) and 0-2 (7.69%). The likeliest Sutton United win was 1-0 (9.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.