Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rochdale win with a probability of 41.56%. A win for Sutton United had a probability of 31.22% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rochdale win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.54%) and 0-2 (7.69%). The likeliest Sutton United win was 1-0 (9.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sutton United | Draw | Rochdale |
| 31.22% ( | 27.22% ( | 41.56% ( |
| Both teams to score 49.27% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.99% ( | 56% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.9% ( | 77.09% ( |
| Sutton United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.08% ( | 32.92% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.5% ( | 69.5% ( |
| Rochdale Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.45% ( | 26.55% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.23% ( | 61.76% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Sutton United | Draw | Rochdale |
| 1-0 @ 9.71% ( 2-1 @ 7.16% ( 2-0 @ 5.4% ( 3-1 @ 2.65% ( 3-0 @ 2% ( 3-2 @ 1.76% ( Other @ 2.56% Total : 31.22% | 1-1 @ 12.87% ( 0-0 @ 8.74% ( 2-2 @ 4.74% ( Other @ 0.85% Total : 27.21% | 0-1 @ 11.59% ( 1-2 @ 8.54% ( 0-2 @ 7.69% ( 1-3 @ 3.77% ( 0-3 @ 3.4% ( 2-3 @ 2.1% ( 1-4 @ 1.25% ( 0-4 @ 1.13% ( Other @ 2.1% Total : 41.56% |