National League | Gameweek 40

Mar 29, 2025 at 3pm UK

Spotland Stadium

Rochdale
4 - 0
Aldershot

Beckwith (15'), Rodney (36', 55'), Henderson (57')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Barrett (58')

Coverage of the National League clash between Rochdale and Aldershot Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Rochdale

All competitions

Last Game: Rochdale 0-4 York City
Tuesday, March 25 at 7.45pm in National League

Goals
for

Aldershot Town

All competitions

Last Game: Wealdstone 1-3 Aldershot
Tuesday, March 25 at 7.45pm in National League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rochdale win with a probability of 44.93%. A win for Aldershot Town had a probability of 30.94% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rochdale win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.46%) and 2-0 (6.94%). The likeliest Aldershot Town win was 1-2 (7.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.19%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rochdale would win this match.

Result
Rochdale	Draw	Aldershot Town
44.93% ( 0)	24.13% ( -0)	30.94% ( 0)

Both teams to score 59.18% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.91% (

43.09% (

-0)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.51% (

65.49% (

-0)

Rochdale Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.64% (

19.37% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.85% (

51.16% (

-0)

Aldershot Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.39% (

26.61%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.17% (

61.84% (

Score Analysis

Rochdale 44.93%

Aldershot Town 30.94%

Draw 24.12%

Rochdale	Draw	Aldershot Town
2-1 @ 9.19% 1-0 @ 8.46% 2-0 @ 6.94% 3-1 @ 5.03% 3-0 @ 3.8% 3-2 @ 3.33% 4-1 @ 2.07% 4-0 @ 1.56% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.37% Other @ 3.19% Total : 44.93%	1-1 @ 11.19% 2-2 @ 6.09% 0-0 @ 5.15% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.47% Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.12%	1-2 @ 7.41% 0-1 @ 6.82% 0-2 @ 4.52% 1-3 @ 3.27% 2-3 @ 2.69% 0-3 @ 1.99% 1-4 @ 1.08% Other @ 3.16% Total : 30.94%