Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gateshead win with a probability of 40.34%. A win for Aldershot Town had a probability of 34.86% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gateshead win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.41%) and 0-2 (6.32%). The likeliest Aldershot Town win was 2-1 (8.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.6%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Aldershot Town | Draw | Gateshead |
| 34.86% ( | 24.8% ( | 40.34% ( |
| Both teams to score 58.2% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.02% ( | 44.98% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.67% ( | 67.33% ( |
| Aldershot Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.86% ( | 25.14% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.14% ( | 59.85% ( |
| Gateshead Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.75% ( | 22.25% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.32% ( | 55.68% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Aldershot Town | Draw | Gateshead |
| 2-1 @ 8.01% ( 1-0 @ 7.72% ( 2-0 @ 5.33% ( 3-1 @ 3.69% ( 3-2 @ 2.77% 3-0 @ 2.45% ( 4-1 @ 1.27% 4-2 @ 0.96% ( Other @ 2.65% Total : 34.86% | 1-1 @ 11.6% 2-2 @ 6.02% 0-0 @ 5.59% ( 3-3 @ 1.39% Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.8% | 1-2 @ 8.72% ( 0-1 @ 8.41% ( 0-2 @ 6.32% 1-3 @ 4.37% ( 0-3 @ 3.17% ( 2-3 @ 3.02% ( 1-4 @ 1.64% ( 0-4 @ 1.19% 2-4 @ 1.13% Other @ 2.38% Total : 40.34% |