Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gateshead win with a probability of 40.34%. A win for Aldershot Town had a probability of 34.86% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gateshead win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.41%) and 0-2 (6.32%). The likeliest Aldershot Town win was 2-1 (8.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.6%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.