Aldershot Town
Altrincham
Boreham Wood
Braintree Town
Carlisle United
Eastleigh
Forest Green Rovers
Gateshead
Halifax Town
Hartlepool United
Morecambe
Rochdale
Scunthorpe United
Solihull Moors
Southend United
Sutton United
Wealdstone
Woking
Yeovil Town
Maidenhead United
National League | Gameweek 39
Mar 22, 2025 at 3pm UK
York Road
Rochdale

Maidenhead
1 - 1
Rochdale

Kiernan (51')
De Havilland (69'), Barratt (85')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Henderson (17')
Mitchell (40')
Coverage of the National League clash between Maidenhead United and Rochdale.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Maidenhead 0-1 Aldershot
Tuesday, March 18 at 7.45pm in National League
Last Game: Rochdale 2-3 Boston
Tuesday, March 18 at 7.45pm in National League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rochdale win with a probability of 63.2%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Maidenhead United had a probability of 15.64%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rochdale win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.54%) and 1-2 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.06%), while for a Maidenhead United win it was 1-0 (5.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.

Result
Maidenhead UnitedDrawRochdale
15.64% (0.237 0.24)21.16% (0.058999999999997 0.06)63.2% (-0.29199999999999 -0.29)
Both teams to score 49.2% (0.352 0.35)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.18% (0.19 0.19)46.82% (-0.188 -0.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.92% (0.177 0.18)69.07% (-0.17400000000001 -0.17)
Maidenhead United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.32% (0.432 0.43)42.67% (-0.429 -0.43)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.98% (0.365 0.37)79.01% (-0.363 -0.36)
Rochdale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.82% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)14.17% (0.032 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.13% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06)41.87% (0.061 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Maidenhead United 15.64%
    Rochdale 63.19%
    Draw 21.15%
Maidenhead UnitedDrawRochdale
1-0 @ 5.15% (0.021 0.02)
2-1 @ 4.29% (0.063 0.06)
2-0 @ 2.19% (0.034 0.03)
3-1 @ 1.22% (0.032 0.03)
3-2 @ 1.19% (0.03 0.03)
Other @ 1.61%
Total : 15.64%
1-1 @ 10.06% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
0-0 @ 6.05% (-0.048 -0.05)
2-2 @ 4.19% (0.057 0.06)
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 21.15%
0-1 @ 11.81% (-0.11 -0.11)
0-2 @ 11.54% (-0.12 -0.12)
1-2 @ 9.83% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
0-3 @ 7.52% (-0.084 -0.08)
1-3 @ 6.4% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-4 @ 3.67% (-0.046 -0.05)
1-4 @ 3.13% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
2-3 @ 2.73% (0.034 0.03)
0-5 @ 1.44% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.33% (0.015 0.02)
1-5 @ 1.22% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 63.19%

Head to Head
Sep 10, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 8
Rochdale
3-1
Maidenhead
East (18'), Mitchell (41', 47')
Adebayo-Rowling (52')
Asose (61')
Golding (90+4')
Mar 23, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 41
Rochdale
1-0
Maidenhead
Rodney (38')
Keohane (35'), Gordon (87')
Oct 7, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 15
Maidenhead
2-2
Rochdale
Smith (60'), Zimba (84')
De Havilland (66'), Asare (70'), Pettit (90+7')
Mitchell (29'), Sinclair (86')
Oduroh (90+8'), Rodney (90+2'), Keohane (90+5')