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Major League Soccer
Mar 15, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Banc of California Stadium
Austin FC

Los Angeles
0 - 1
Austin


Tillman (79')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Biro (11')
Vazquez (45+1'), Sabovic (64'), Stuver (79'), Obrian (90+2'), Obrian (90+3'), Gallagher (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Los Angeles FC and Austin FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Columbus Crew 2-1 Los Angeles
Wednesday, March 12 at 12.30am in CONCACAF Champions League
Last Game: Austin 0-1 Colorado
Sunday, March 9 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles FC win with a probability of 62.24%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Austin FC had a probability of 15.81%.

The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.91%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.41%), while for an Austin FC win it was 0-1 (5.57%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.

Result
Los Angeles FCDrawAustin FC
62.24% (-0.275 -0.27)21.95% (0.14 0.14)15.81% (0.137 0.14)
Both teams to score 47.16% (-0.116 -0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.23% (-0.32 -0.32)49.76% (0.322 0.32)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.23% (-0.287 -0.29)71.77% (0.289 0.29)
Los Angeles FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.55% (-0.19799999999999 -0.2)15.45% (0.198 0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.7% (-0.369 -0.37)44.3% (0.371 0.37)
Austin FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.77% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)44.22% (0.0089999999999932 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.69% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)80.31% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Los Angeles FC 62.22%
    Austin FC 15.81%
    Draw 21.95%
Los Angeles FCDrawAustin FC
1-0 @ 12.75% (0.07 0.07)
2-0 @ 11.91% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.72% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-0 @ 7.42% (-0.056 -0.06)
3-1 @ 6.05% (-0.047 -0.05)
4-0 @ 3.46% (-0.051 -0.05)
4-1 @ 2.83% (-0.042 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.47% (-0.02 -0.02)
5-0 @ 1.29% (-0.028 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.15% (-0.017 -0.02)
5-1 @ 1.06% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 62.22%
1-1 @ 10.41% (0.07 0.07)
0-0 @ 6.83% (0.089 0.09)
2-2 @ 3.97% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.74%
Total : 21.95%
0-1 @ 5.57% (0.071000000000001 0.07)
1-2 @ 4.25% (0.024 0.02)
0-2 @ 2.27% (0.029 0.03)
1-3 @ 1.16% (0.006 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.08% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 1.48%
Total : 15.81%

How you voted: Los Angeles vs Austin

Los Angeles FC
66.7%
Draw
16.7%
Austin FC
16.7%
6
Head to Head
Sep 19, 2024 3.30am
Los Angeles
1-1
Austin
Martinez (62')
Segura (45+1'), Atuesta (49'), Tillman (85')
Obrian (45+2')
Rubio (31'), Fodrey (88')
Aug 8, 2024 3.30am
Round of 32
Los Angeles
2-0
Austin
Bouanga (11'), Olivera (61')
Martinez (45+2')

Desler (42'), Pereira (50')
Jun 20, 2024 1.30am
Austin
1-1
Los Angeles
Obrian (19')
Driussi (58'), Biro (60'), Valencia (63')
Kamara (90')
Duenas (4'), Segura (20'), Tillman (69')
Oct 8, 2023 1.30am
Austin
2-4
Los Angeles
Vaisanen (75'), Chiellini (90+4' og.)
Rigoni (51'), Zardes (90')
Tillman (13'), Bouanga (45+1' pen., 54'), Olivera (68')
Apr 9, 2023 12.30am
rhs 2.0


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