Major League Soccer

Mar 2, 2025 at 3.30am UK

Providence Park

Portland
1 - 0
Austin

Costa (89', 89')
McGraw (39'), McGraw (39'), Antony (53'), Antony (53'), Fory (55'), Fory (55'), Ortiz (64'), Ortiz (64'), Paredes (90+1'), Paredes (90+1')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Pereira (44'), Pereira (44')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Portland Timbers and Austin FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Portland Timbers

All competitions

Major League Soccer

Last Game: Portland 1-4 Vancouver
Sunday, February 23 at 9pm in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Austin FC

All competitions

Last Game: Austin 1-0 Kansas
Sunday, February 23 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portland Timbers win with a probability of 50.74%. A win for Austin FC had a probability of 25.6% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portland Timbers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.52%) and 2-0 (8.27%). The likeliest Austin FC win was 1-2 (6.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Portland Timbers would win this match.

Result
Portland Timbers	Draw	Austin FC
50.74% ( -1.18)	23.66% ( 0.72)	25.6% ( 0.46)

Both teams to score 56.75% (

-1.99)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.51% (

-2.86)

44.49% (

2.85)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.14% (

-2.82)

66.86% (

2.82)

Portland Timbers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.4% (

-1.48)

17.59% (

1.48)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.83% (

-2.64)

48.17% (

2.64)

Austin FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.87% (

-1.16)

31.13% (

1.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.54% (

-1.38)

67.46% (

1.38)

Score Analysis

Portland Timbers 50.74%

Austin FC 25.6%

Draw 23.65%

Portland Timbers	Draw	Austin FC
2-1 @ 9.65% ( -0.05) 1-0 @ 9.52% ( 0.7) 2-0 @ 8.27% ( 0.22) 3-1 @ 5.59% ( -0.31) 3-0 @ 4.79% ( -0.11) 3-2 @ 3.26% ( -0.29) 4-1 @ 2.43% ( -0.27) 4-0 @ 2.08% ( -0.15) 4-2 @ 1.42% ( -0.21) Other @ 3.74% Total : 50.74%	1-1 @ 11.1% ( 0.48) 2-2 @ 5.63% ( -0.21) 0-0 @ 5.48% ( 0.65) 3-3 @ 1.27% ( -0.16) Other @ 0.18% Total : 23.65%	1-2 @ 6.48% ( 0.08) 0-1 @ 6.39% ( 0.57) 0-2 @ 3.73% ( 0.22) 1-3 @ 2.52% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 2.19% ( -0.16) 0-3 @ 1.45% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.84% Total : 25.6%