Major League Soccer
Mar 2, 2025 3.30am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Providence Park
  • Zac McGraw 39' yellowcard
  • Zac McGraw 39' yellowcard
  • Antony 53' yellowcard
  • Antony 53' yellowcard
  • Jimer Fory 55' yellowcard
  • Jimer Fory 55' yellowcard
  • Julio Ortiz 64' yellowcard
  • Julio Ortiz 64' yellowcard
  • David Costa 89' goal
  • David Costa 89' goal
  • Cristhian Paredes 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Cristhian Paredes 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Daniel Pereira 44'
  • yellowcard Daniel Pereira 44'

Portland Timbers vs Austin FC - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Portland Timbers

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Feb 23, 2025 9.00pm
Portland 1 - 4 Vancouver
Goals scored
45
Top scorer
Antony

Austin FC

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Feb 23, 2025 1.30am
Austin 1 - 0 Kansas
Goals scored
36
Top scorer
Brandon Vazquez

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portland Timbers win with a probability of 50.74%. A win for Austin FC had a probability of 25.6% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portland Timbers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.52%) and 2-0 (8.27%). The likeliest Austin FC win was 1-2 (6.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Portland Timbers would win this match.

Result

Portland Timbers 50.74% (-1.18)
Draw 23.66% (+0.73)
Austin FC 25.6% (+0.46)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.75% (-2.00)

Goals

Over 2.5 55.51% (-2.86)
Under 2.5 44.49% (+2.86)
Over 3.5 33.14% (-2.83)
Under 3.5 66.86% (+2.83)
Over 4.5 16.89% (-2.10)
Under 4.5 83.1% (+2.10)

Portland Timbers Goals

Over 0.5 82.4% (-1.49)
Under 0.5 17.59% (+1.48)
Over 1.5 51.83% (-2.64)
Under 1.5 48.17% (+2.64)

Austin FC Goals

Over 0.5 68.87% (-1.17)
Under 0.5 31.13% (+1.17)
Over 1.5 32.54% (-1.38)
Under 1.5 67.46% (+1.38)

Score analysis

Portland Timbers 50.74%
Draw 23.65%
Austin FC 25.6%
Portland Timbers
2-1 @ 9.65% (-0.05)
1-0 @ 9.52% (+0.71)
2-0 @ 8.27% (+0.23)
3-1 @ 5.59% (-0.32)
3-0 @ 4.79% (-0.11)
3-2 @ 3.26% (-0.30)
4-1 @ 2.43% (-0.27)
4-0 @ 2.08% (-0.16)
4-2 @ 1.42% (-0.21)
Other @ 3.74%
Total : 50.74%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.1% (+0.49)
2-2 @ 5.63% (-0.22)
0-0 @ 5.48% (+0.65)
3-3 @ 1.27% (-0.16)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 23.65%
Austin FC
1-2 @ 6.48% (+0.09)
0-1 @ 6.39% (+0.58)
0-2 @ 3.73% (+0.23)
1-3 @ 2.52% (-0.06)
2-3 @ 2.19% (-0.16)
0-3 @ 1.45% (+0.05)
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 25.6%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer
Oct 3, 2024 3.30am
0
1
HT : 0 3
FT Providence Park
  • yellowcard Daniel Pereira 22'
  • yellowcard Daniel Pereira 22'
  • goal 23'
  • yellowcard Jader Obrian 40'
  • yellowcard Jader Obrian 40'
  • goal Daniel Pereira 42'
  • goal Daniel Pereira 42'
  • yellowcard Brad Stuver 90'+7'
  • yellowcard Brad Stuver 90'+7'
Major League Soccer
May 30, 2024 1.30am
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT Bold Stadium
  • Gyasi Zardes 47' yellowcard
  • Gyasi Zardes 47' yellowcard
  • Hector Jimenez 50' yellowcard
  • Hector Jimenez 50' yellowcard
  • Brendan Hines-Ike 64' yellowcard
  • Brendan Hines-Ike 64' yellowcard
  • Calvin Fodrey 74' yellowcard
  • Calvin Fodrey 74' yellowcard
  • Daniel Pereira 77' yellowcard
  • Daniel Pereira 77' yellowcard
  • goal Evander 45'+3'
  • goal Evander 45'+3'
  • goal Jonathan Rodriguez 66'
  • goal Jonathan Rodriguez 66'
  • yellowcard Cristhian Paredes 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Cristhian Paredes 90'+2'
Major League Soccer
Sep 18, 2023 1.30am
1
2
HT : 0 2
FT Bold Stadium
  • Owen Wolff 57' yellowcard
  • Owen Wolff 57' yellowcard
  • Julio Cascante 61' yellowcard
  • Julio Cascante 61' yellowcard
  • Sebastian Driussi 75' goal
  • Sebastian Driussi 75' goal
  • goal Felipe Mora 39'
  • goal Felipe Mora 39'
  • goal Evander 64'
  • goal Evander 65'
  • yellowcard Antony 90'+7'
  • yellowcard Antony 90'+7'
Major League Soccer
May 7, 2023 3.30am
2
2
HT : 1 0
FT Providence Park
  • Dario Zuparic 33' goal
  • Claudio Bravo 71' goal
  • goal Jon Gallagher 59'
  • goal Will Bruin 90'+2'
Major League Soccer
Sep 1, 2022 3.51am
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Maximiliano Urruti 30' yellowcard
  • Daniel Pereira 45'+5' yellowcard
  • Alexander Ring 65' yellowcard
  • Sebastian Driussi 79' goal
  • goal Bill Tuiloma 16'
  • yellowcard Dario Zuparic 42'
  • yellowcard Eryk Williamson 67'
  • goal Zac McGraw 73'
Major League Soccer
Mar 13, 2022 3.00am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Yimmi Chara 53' yellowcard
  • Yimmi Chara 54' yellowcard
  • Cristhian Paredes 57' yellowcard
  • Bill Tuiloma 62' goal
  • Sebastian Blanco 90'+6' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Cecilio Dominguez 49'
  • yellowcard Sebastian Driussi 50'
  • yellowcard Zan Kolmanic 50'
  • yellowcard Daniel Pereira 60'
  • yellowcard Jhojan Valencia 90'+5'