Major League Soccer

Apr 26, 2025 at 9.30pm UK

Red Bull Arena, Harrison

NY Red Bulls
1 - 0
Montreal

Eile (67')
Eile (28'), Javier Valencia Arauz (85'), Ngoma (87'), Carballo (88')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Saliba (55')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between New York Red Bulls and CF Montreal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

New York Red Bulls

All competitions

Last Game: NY Red Bulls 1-2 DC United
Sunday, April 20 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

CF Montreal

All competitions

Last Game: Montreal 0-0 Orlando City
Sunday, April 20 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York Red Bulls win with a probability of 59.39%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for CF Montreal had a probability of 19.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York Red Bulls win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.95%) and 2-0 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.15%), while for a CF Montreal win it was 0-1 (5.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for New York Red Bulls in this match.

Result
New York Red Bulls	Draw	CF Montreal
59.39% ( -0)	21.57% ( -0.02)	19.03% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 54.74% (

0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.1% (

0.11)

42.89% (

-0.12)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.7% (

0.11)

65.29% (

-0.11)

New York Red Bulls Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.92% (

0.03)

14.08% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.32% (

0.07)

41.68% (

-0.07)

CF Montreal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.71% (

0.08)

36.28% (

-0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.93% (

0.08)

73.06% (

-0.09)

Score Analysis

New York Red Bulls 59.39%

CF Montreal 19.03%

Draw 21.57%

New York Red Bulls	Draw	CF Montreal
1-0 @ 10.01% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 9.95% ( 0) 2-0 @ 9.82% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 6.5% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 6.42% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.3% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 3.19% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 3.15% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.62% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.25% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.23% ( 0) Other @ 2.97% Total : 59.39%	1-1 @ 10.15% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.11% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.05% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.11% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.15% Total : 21.57%	0-1 @ 5.18% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 5.15% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 2.63% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.74% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.71% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.64% Total : 19.03%