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Major League Soccer
Apr 13, 2025 at 12.30am UK
Stade Saputo
Charlotte FC

Montreal
0 - 1
Charlotte FC


Loturi (35'), Clark (39'), Osei Owusu (60'), Alvarez (89')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Biel (16')
Agyemang (63')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's MLS clash between CF Montreal and Charlotte FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Columbus Crew 2-1 Montreal
Sunday, April 6 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Charlotte FC 2-1 Nashville
Saturday, April 5 at 7.30pm in Major League Soccer

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CF Montreal win with a probability of 43.74%. A win for Charlotte FC had a probability of 31.25% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a CF Montreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.08%) and 2-0 (7.19%). The likeliest Charlotte FC win was 0-1 (7.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.8%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Charlotte FC would win this match.

Result
CF MontrealDrawCharlotte FC
43.74% (0.138 0.14)25.01% (0.018000000000001 0.02)31.25% (-0.163 -0.16)
Both teams to score 56.29% (-0.141 -0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.05% (-0.149 -0.15)46.94% (0.142 0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.81% (-0.139 -0.14)69.19% (0.13200000000001 0.13)
CF Montreal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.52% (-0.0020000000000095 -0)21.47% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.49% (0.0030000000000001 0)54.51% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Charlotte FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.68% (-0.18300000000001 -0.18)28.31% (0.176 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.96% (-0.229 -0.23)64.04% (0.221 0.22)
Score Analysis
    CF Montreal 43.74%
    Charlotte FC 31.25%
    Draw 25.01%
CF MontrealDrawCharlotte FC
1-0 @ 9.35% (0.057 0.06)
2-1 @ 9.08% (0.012 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.19% (0.045 0.04)
3-1 @ 4.65% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.69% (0.023 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.94% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.79% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 1.42% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.13% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 43.74%
1-1 @ 11.8% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
0-0 @ 6.08% (0.037 0.04)
2-2 @ 5.73% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.24% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.01%
0-1 @ 7.67% (0.008 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.45% (-0.027 -0.03)
0-2 @ 4.84% (-0.019 -0.02)
1-3 @ 3.13% (-0.027 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.41% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.04% (-0.018 -0.02)
1-4 @ 0.99% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 31.25%

How you voted: Montreal vs Charlotte FC

CF Montreal
12.5%
Draw
0.0%
Charlotte FC
87.5%
8
Head to Head
Oct 6, 2024 12.30am
Charlotte FC
2-0
Montreal
Swiderski (34'), Agyemang (90+4')
Tavares (80'), Vargas (83')

Edwards (10'), Saliba (73'), Alvarez (85')
Sep 15, 2024 12.30am
Jul 16, 2023 12.30am
Jun 25, 2023 12.30am
Jun 26, 2022 12.30am
Montreal
2-1
Charlotte FC
Quioto (6'), Choiniere (47')
Torres (55'), Camacho (70'), Waterman (79')
Corujo (9')
Corujo (85'), Hegardt (88')