Major League Soccer
Mar 22, 2025 11.30pm
4
1
HT : 3 0
FT Bank of America Stadium
  • Pep Biel 11' goal
  • Ashley Westwood 36' goal
  • Brandt Bronico 40' goal
  • Brandt Bronico 41' yellowcard
  • Kerwin Vargas 52' goal
  • Djibril Diani 73' yellowcard
  • Andrew Privett 74' redcard
  • goal Cristian Arango 77'
  • yellowcard Rodrigues 80'

Charlotte FC vs San Jose Earthquakes - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Charlotte FC

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Mar 15, 2025 11.30pm
Charlotte FC 2 - 0 Cincinnati
Goals scored
50
Top scorer
Liel Abada

San Jose Earthquakes

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Mar 16, 2025 2.30am
Earthquakes 1 - 2 Colorado
Goals scored
53
Top scorer
Cristian Arango

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charlotte FC win with a probability of 51.43%. A win for San Jose Earthquakes had a probability of 24.33% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Charlotte FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.64%) and 2-0 (8.98%). The likeliest San Jose Earthquakes win was 0-1 (6.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.5%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Charlotte FC would win this match.

Result

Charlotte FC 51.43% (+0.05)
Draw 24.24% (-0.02)
San Jose Earthquakes 24.33% (-0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.51% (+0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 51.85% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 48.16% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 29.69% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 70.31% (-0.02)
Over 4.5 14.46% (+0.02)
Under 4.5 85.55% (-0.02)

Charlotte FC Goals

Over 0.5 81.28% (+0.04)
Under 0.5 18.72% (-0.03)
Over 1.5 49.92% (+0.05)
Under 1.5 50.08% (-0.05)

San Jose Earthquakes Goals

Over 0.5 65.83% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 34.17% (+0.03)
Over 1.5 29.14% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 70.86% (+0.03)

Score analysis

Charlotte FC 51.43%
Draw 24.23%
San Jose Earthquakes 24.33%
Charlotte FC
1-0 @ 10.71%
2-1 @ 9.64% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 8.98% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 5.39% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 5.02% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.89% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 2.26% (+0.01)
4-0 @ 2.1% (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.21% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.23%
Total : 51.43%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.5% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 6.4% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.18% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.04%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 24.23%
San Jose Earthquakes
0-1 @ 6.87% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 6.18% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 3.69% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 2.21% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.85% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.32% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 24.33%