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Major League Soccer

Charlotte FC
Major League Soccer
Mar 22, 2025 at 11.30pm UK
Bank of America Stadium
San Jose Earthquakes

Charlotte FC
4 - 1
Earthquakes

Biel (11'), Westwood (36'), Bronico (40'), Vargas (52')
Bronico (41'), Diani (73')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Arango (77' pen.)
Rodrigues (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Charlotte FC and San Jose Earthquakes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Charlotte FC

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last Game: Charlotte FC 2-0 Cincinnati
Saturday, March 15 at 11.30pm in Major League Soccer

San Jose Earthquakes

All competitions
Last Game: Earthquakes 1-2 Colorado
Sunday, March 16 at 2.30am in Major League Soccer

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charlotte FC win with a probability of 51.43%. A win for San Jose Earthquakes had a probability of 24.33% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Charlotte FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.64%) and 2-0 (8.98%). The likeliest San Jose Earthquakes win was 0-1 (6.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.5%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Charlotte FC would win this match.

Result
Charlotte FCDrawSan Jose Earthquakes
51.43% (0.049999999999997 0.05)24.24% (-0.013000000000002 -0.01)24.33% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Both teams to score 53.51% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.85% (0.024000000000001 0.02)48.16% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.69% (0.021000000000001 0.02)70.31% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)
Charlotte FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.28% (0.030000000000001 0.03)18.72% (-0.026 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.92% (0.045999999999999 0.05)50.08% (-0.041999999999994 -0.04)
San Jose Earthquakes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.83% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)34.17% (0.020000000000003 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.14% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)70.86% (0.022000000000006 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Charlotte FC 51.43%
    San Jose Earthquakes 24.33%
    Draw 24.23%
Charlotte FCDrawSan Jose Earthquakes
1-0 @ 10.71%
2-1 @ 9.64% (0.0040000000000013 0)
2-0 @ 8.98% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.39% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-0 @ 5.02% (0.008 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.89% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 2.26% (0.004 0)
4-0 @ 2.1% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-2 @ 1.21% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.23%
Total : 51.43%
1-1 @ 11.5% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.4% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.18% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-3 @ 1.04%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 24.23%
0-1 @ 6.87% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
1-2 @ 6.18% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.69% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.21% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 1.85% (-0.002 -0)
0-3 @ 1.32% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 24.33%

How you voted: Charlotte FC vs Earthquakes

Charlotte FC
75.0%
Draw
12.5%
San Jose Earthquakes
12.5%
16