Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chicago Fire win with a probability of 56.16%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for CF Montreal had a probability of 21.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chicago Fire win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.89%) and 2-0 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.64%), while for a CF Montreal win it was 0-1 (5.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Chicago Fire | Draw | CF Montreal |
| 56.16% ( | 22.58% ( | 21.26% ( |
| Both teams to score 55.03% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.73% ( | 44.27% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.35% ( | 66.64% ( |
| Chicago Fire Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.41% ( | 15.58% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.44% ( | 44.55% ( |
| CF Montreal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.19% ( | 34.81% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.46% ( | 71.54% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Chicago Fire | Draw | CF Montreal |
| 1-0 @ 10.08% 2-1 @ 9.89% ( 2-0 @ 9.37% ( 3-1 @ 6.13% ( 3-0 @ 5.81% ( 3-2 @ 3.23% ( 4-1 @ 2.85% ( 4-0 @ 2.7% ( 4-2 @ 1.5% ( 5-1 @ 1.06% ( 5-0 @ 1% ( Other @ 2.53% Total : 56.16% | 1-1 @ 10.64% ( 0-0 @ 5.42% ( 2-2 @ 5.22% ( 3-3 @ 1.14% ( Other @ 0.15% Total : 22.57% | 0-1 @ 5.73% ( 1-2 @ 5.62% ( 0-2 @ 3.02% ( 1-3 @ 1.98% ( 2-3 @ 1.84% ( 0-3 @ 1.06% ( Other @ 2.02% Total : 21.26% |