Major League Soccer
Mar 15, 2025 6.30pm
1
2
HT : 1 2
FT BMO Field
  • Deandre Kerr 11' goal
  • goal Andrew Gutman 29'
  • goal Hugo Cuypers 44'

Toronto vs Chicago Fire - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Toronto

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Mar 9, 2025 12.30am
Cincinnati 2 - 0 Toronto
Goals scored
35
Top scorer
Federico Bernardeschi

Chicago Fire

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Mar 9, 2025 1.30am
Dallas 1 - 3 Chicago Fire
Goals scored
73
Top scorer
Hugo Cuypers

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toronto win with a probability of 46.04%. A win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 28.86% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toronto win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.26%) and 2-0 (7.85%). The likeliest Chicago Fire win was 0-1 (7.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.

Result

Toronto 46.04% (-0.23)
Draw 25.09% (-0.03)
Chicago Fire 28.86% (+0.25)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.67% (+0.26)

Goals

Over 2.5 51.54% (+0.26)
Under 2.5 48.45% (-0.27)
Over 3.5 29.41% (+0.24)
Under 3.5 70.58% (-0.24)
Over 4.5 14.27% (+0.17)
Under 4.5 85.73% (-0.17)

Toronto Goals

Over 0.5 78.93% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 21.07% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 46.11% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 53.88% (-0.02)

Chicago Fire Goals

Over 0.5 69.27% (+0.32)
Under 0.5 30.73% (-0.32)
Over 1.5 33.01% (+0.37)
Under 1.5 66.98% (-0.38)

Score analysis

Toronto 46.04%
Draw 25.08%
Chicago Fire 28.86%
Toronto
1-0 @ 10.08% (-0.10)
2-1 @ 9.26% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 7.85% (-0.09)
3-1 @ 4.81% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 4.08% (-0.05)
3-2 @ 2.84% (+0.03)
4-1 @ 1.87% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 1.59% (-0.02)
4-2 @ 1.11% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 46.04%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.89% (-0.02)
0-0 @ 6.47% (-0.07)
2-2 @ 5.47% (+0.05)
3-3 @ 1.12% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.08%
Chicago Fire
0-1 @ 7.64% (-0.02)
1-2 @ 7.02% (+0.05)
0-2 @ 4.51% (+0.04)
1-3 @ 2.76% (+0.05)
2-3 @ 2.15% (+0.04)
0-3 @ 1.77% (+0.03)
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 28.86%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer
Sep 29, 2024 1.30am
1
1
HT : 0 2
FT SeatGeek Stadium
  • Gaston Gimenez 17' yellowcard
  • Gaston Gimenez 17' yellowcard
  • Kellyn Acosta 58' yellowcard
  • Kellyn Acosta 58' yellowcard
  • Jonathan Dean 84' goal
  • Jonathan Dean 84' goal
  • Rafael Czichos 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Rafael Czichos 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Wyatt Omsberg 90'+3' yellowcard
  • Wyatt Omsberg 90'+3' yellowcard
  • goal Prince Osei Owusu 45'+4'
  • goal Prince Osei Owusu 45'+4'
  • yellowcard Jonathan Osorio 45'+11'
  • yellowcard Jonathan Osorio 45'+11'
  • yellowcard Shane O'Neill 60'
  • yellowcard Shane O'Neill 60'
  • yellowcard Sean Johnson 83'
  • yellowcard Sean Johnson 83'
Major League Soccer
Jun 16, 2024 12.30am
1
4
HT : 2 2
FT BMO Field
  • Lorenzo Insigne 44' goal
  • Lorenzo Insigne 44' goal
  • goal Maren Haile-Selassie 41'
  • goal Maren Haile-Selassie 41'
  • goal Hugo Cuypers 57'
  • goal Hugo Cuypers 57'
  • goal Mauricio Pineda 60'
  • goal Mauricio Pineda 60'
  • goal Allan Arigoni 89'
  • goal Allan Arigoni 89'
Major League Soccer
Jul 16, 2023 1.30am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Soldier Field
  • Kacper Przybylko 90' goal
  • Kacper Przybylko 90' goal
Major League Soccer
Jun 1, 2023 12.30am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT BMO Field
Major League Soccer
Jul 14, 2022 1.00am
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Jhon Duran 4' goal
  • Jhon Duran 16' goal
  • Chris Mueller 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Brian Gutierrez 64' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Shane O'Neill 34'
  • yellowcard Lukas MacNaughton 37'
  • yellowcard Domenico Criscito 65'
  • yellowcard Jayden Nelson 90'+4'
Major League Soccer
May 29, 2022 12.00am
3
2
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Deandre Kerr 13' goal
  • Alejandro Pozuelo 31' yellowcard
  • Alejandro Pozuelo 71' goal
  • Alejandro Pozuelo 78' goal
  • Quentin Westberg 87' yellowcard
  • Ralph Priso-Mbongue 88' yellowcard
  • goal Carlos Teran 52'
  • yellowcard Kacper Przybylko 62'
  • goal Kacper Przybylko 66'
  • yellowcard Xherdan Shaqiri 75'
  • yellowcard Carlos Teran 78'