Major League Soccer

Mar 15, 2025 at 6.30pm UK

BMO Field

Toronto
1 - 2
Chicago Fire

Kerr (11')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Gutman (29'), Cuypers (44')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Toronto and Chicago Fire, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Toronto

All competitions

Last Game: Cincinnati 2-0 Toronto
Sunday, March 9 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Chicago Fire

All competitions

Last Game: Dallas 1-3 Chicago Fire
Sunday, March 9 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toronto win with a probability of 46.04%. A win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 28.86% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toronto win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.26%) and 2-0 (7.85%). The likeliest Chicago Fire win was 0-1 (7.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.

Result
Toronto	Draw	Chicago Fire
46.04% ( -0.22)	25.09% ( -0.03)	28.86% ( 0.25)

Both teams to score 54.67% (

0.25)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.54% (

0.26)

48.45% (

-0.26)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.41% (

0.23)

70.58% (

-0.24)

Toronto Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.93% (

0.01)

21.07% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.11% (

0.01)

53.88% (

-0.02)

Chicago Fire Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.27% (

0.31)

30.73% (

-0.32)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.01% (

0.37)

66.98% (

-0.37)

Score Analysis

Toronto 46.04%

Chicago Fire 28.86%

Draw 25.08%

Toronto	Draw	Chicago Fire
1-0 @ 10.08% ( -0.1) 2-1 @ 9.26% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 7.85% ( -0.08) 3-1 @ 4.81% ( -0) 3-0 @ 4.08% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.84% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.87% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.59% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.11% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.56% Total : 46.04%	1-1 @ 11.89% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.47% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 5.47% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 1.12% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.08%	0-1 @ 7.64% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 7.02% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 4.51% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 2.76% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 2.15% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 1.77% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.01% Total : 28.86%