Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chicago Fire win with a probability of 40.86%. A win for DC United had a probability of 33.52% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chicago Fire win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.74%) and 2-0 (6.83%). The likeliest DC United win was 0-1 (8.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-2 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Chicago Fire | Draw | DC United |
| 40.86% ( | 25.62% ( | 33.52% ( |
| Both teams to score 55.07% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.1% ( | 48.89% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.01% ( | 70.99% ( |
| Chicago Fire Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.29% ( | 23.7% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.17% ( | 57.83% ( |
| DC United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.18% ( | 27.81% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.59% ( | 63.41% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Chicago Fire | Draw | DC United |
| 1-0 @ 9.49% ( 2-1 @ 8.74% ( 2-0 @ 6.83% ( 3-1 @ 4.19% ( 3-0 @ 3.28% ( 3-2 @ 2.68% ( 4-1 @ 1.51% ( 4-0 @ 1.18% ( 4-2 @ 0.97% ( Other @ 1.98% Total : 40.86% | 1-1 @ 12.14% ( 0-0 @ 6.59% ( 2-2 @ 5.59% ( 3-3 @ 1.15% ( Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.61% | 0-1 @ 8.44% ( 1-2 @ 7.77% ( 0-2 @ 5.4% ( 1-3 @ 3.31% ( 2-3 @ 2.39% ( 0-3 @ 2.3% ( 1-4 @ 1.06% ( Other @ 2.85% Total : 33.52% |