Major League Soccer

Mar 9, 2025 at 1.30am UK

Minato Soccer Stadium

Dallas
1 - 3
Chicago Fire

Musa (13'), Farrington (57', 57')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Gutman (82', 82'), Jose Caetano Barroso (84', 84'), Cuypers (90+1' pen., 90+1' pen.)
Pineda (45+1'), Pineda (45+1'), Gutierrez (71'), Gutierrez (71'), Barlow (88'), Barlow (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Dallas and Chicago Fire, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Dallas

All competitions

Last Game: Colorado 3-3 Dallas
Sunday, March 2 at 2.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Chicago Fire

All competitions

Last Game: Chicago Fire 2-2 DC United
Sunday, March 2 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dallas win with a probability of 48.32%. A win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 28.35% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dallas win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.23%) and 2-0 (7.26%). The likeliest Chicago Fire win was 1-2 (6.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.

Result
Dallas	Draw	Chicago Fire
48.32% ( 0.47)	23.33% ( -0.25)	28.35% ( -0.22)

Both teams to score 60.31% (

0.73)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.13% (

1.04)

40.87% (

-1.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.74% (

1.05)

63.26% (

-1.06)

Dallas Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.86% (

0.58)

17.14% (

-0.58)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.63% (

1.01)

47.37% (

-1.01)

Chicago Fire Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.79% (

0.38)

27.21% (

-0.38)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.37% (

0.49)

62.63% (

-0.49)

Score Analysis

Dallas 48.32%

Chicago Fire 28.35%

Draw 23.32%

Dallas	Draw	Chicago Fire
2-1 @ 9.44% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 8.23% ( -0.23) 2-0 @ 7.26% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 5.55% ( 0.11) 3-0 @ 4.27% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 3.61% ( 0.11) 4-1 @ 2.45% ( 0.09) 4-0 @ 1.88% ( 0.05) 4-2 @ 1.59% ( 0.08) Other @ 4.05% Total : 48.32%	1-1 @ 10.7% ( -0.19) 2-2 @ 6.15% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 4.66% ( -0.23) 3-3 @ 1.57% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.25% Total : 23.32%	1-2 @ 6.97% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 6.07% ( -0.23) 0-2 @ 3.95% ( -0.1) 1-3 @ 3.02% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.67% ( 0.06) 0-3 @ 1.71% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 0.98% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.97% Total : 28.35%