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Houston Dynamo
Major League Soccer
Feb 23, 2025 at 1.30am UK
BBVA Compass Stadium
FC Dallas

Houston
1 - 2
Dallas

Bassi (18', 18')
Kowalczyk (32'), Kowalczyk (32')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Musa (55', 55'), Julio (76', 76')
Kamungo (25'), Kamungo (25'), Ibeagha (65'), Ibeagha (65'), Ramiro (67'), Ramiro (67'), Urhoghide (89'), Urhoghide (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Houston Dynamo and Dallas, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Dallas 2-1 Kansas
Sunday, October 20 at 2am in Major League Soccer

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Houston Dynamo win with a probability of 57.42%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Dallas had a probability of 20.69%.

The most likely scoreline for a Houston Dynamo win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.49%) and 2-0 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.22%), while for a Dallas win it was 1-2 (5.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.

Result
Houston DynamoDrawDallas
57.42% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)21.88% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)20.69% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
Both teams to score 56.49% (0.052 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.07% (0.036000000000001 0.04)41.92% (-0.035000000000004 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.67% (0.036000000000001 0.04)64.33% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Houston Dynamo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.62%14.37%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.74% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)42.26% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Dallas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.97% (0.061000000000007 0.06)34.03% (-0.061 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.29% (0.065000000000001 0.07)70.71% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Houston Dynamo 57.42%
    Dallas 20.69%
    Draw 21.88%
Houston DynamoDrawDallas
2-1 @ 9.92% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
1-0 @ 9.49% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-0 @ 9.2% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-1 @ 6.41% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 5.95% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.46% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 3.11% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-0 @ 2.89% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.68% (0.002 0)
5-1 @ 1.21%
5-0 @ 1.12% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 57.42%
1-1 @ 10.22%
2-2 @ 5.35% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.89% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.24% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 21.88%
1-2 @ 5.51% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-1 @ 5.27%
0-2 @ 2.84% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-3 @ 1.98% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.92% (0.006 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.02% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 20.69%

Head to Head
May 19, 2024 1.30am
Houston
1-1
Dallas
Bassi (45+6')
Kowalczyk (54'), Segal (90+3')
Musa (69')
Norris (57')
Apr 28, 2024 1.30am
Dallas
2-0
Houston
Musa (55'), Ibeagha (80')
Estevez (6'), Musa (16'), Illarramendi (42'), Kamungo (73')

Micael (62'), Gaines (87')
Dorsey (5')
Oct 1, 2023 1.30am
May 21, 2023 1.30am
Jul 10, 2022 1.30am
Houston
2-2
Dallas
Steres (41'), Lundqvist (47'), Zeca (86')
Hedges (17'), Quignon (22'), Ferreira (85'), Farfan (88'), Servania (90+8')
Servania (90+13')