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New York Red Bulls
Major League Soccer
Apr 20, 2025 at 12.30am UK
Red Bull Arena
DC United

NY Red Bulls
1 - 2
DC United

FT(HT: 0-2)
Peglow (35', 44')
Herrera (70'), Barraza (81'), Badji (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's MLS Playoffs clash between New York Red Bulls and DC United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Orlando City 0-0 NY Red Bulls
Saturday, April 12 at 9.30pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: DC United 0-1 Cincinnati
Sunday, April 13 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York Red Bulls win with a probability of 49.04%. A win for DC United had a probability of 27.66% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York Red Bulls win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.39%) and 2-0 (7.44%). The likeliest DC United win was 1-2 (6.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.

Result
New York Red BullsDrawDC United
49.04% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)23.29%27.66% (0.0040000000000013 0)
Both teams to score 59.88% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.8% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)41.2% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.4% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)63.59% (-0.002999999999993 -0)
New York Red Bulls Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83% (0.0019999999999953 0)16.99% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.88% (0.0020000000000024 0)47.11% (0.0020000000000024 0)
DC United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.14% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)27.86% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.54% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)63.46% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Score Analysis
    New York Red Bulls 49.04%
    DC United 27.66%
    Draw 23.29%
New York Red BullsDrawDC United
2-1 @ 9.5% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-0 @ 8.39% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 7.44% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 5.61%
3-0 @ 4.39% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-2 @ 3.59% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 2.49%
4-0 @ 1.95%
4-2 @ 1.59% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 4.09%
Total : 49.04%
1-1 @ 10.72%
2-2 @ 6.07% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-0 @ 4.73%
3-3 @ 1.53%
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 23.29%
1-2 @ 6.85% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-1 @ 6.05% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 3.87% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-3 @ 2.92% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 2.59%
0-3 @ 1.65%
1-4 @ 0.93%
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 27.66%

Head to Head
Jun 30, 2024 12.30am
NY Red Bulls
2-2
DC United
Manoel (24' pen.), Harper (78')
Donkor (27'), Burke (70')
Stroud (6'), Santos (45+4')
Dajome (14'), Lesesne (15'), Santos (23'), Rodriguez (52'), Herrera (83'), Miller (90+2')
Dajome (20')
May 16, 2024 12.30am
DC United
1-4
NY Red Bulls
Bartlett (65')
Manoel (45+2'), Harper (52'), Morgan (57'), Burke (90+3')
Sep 24, 2023 12.30am
DC United
3-5
NY Red Bulls
Benteke (21', 36', 45+2' pen.)
Canouse (25'), Hines-Ike (55'), Benteke (83')
Fernandez (17', 44'), Harper (45+5'), Nealis (58'), Tolkin (90+3')
Duncan (64'), Nealis (66')
Aug 21, 2023 12.30am
NY Red Bulls
1-0
DC United
Tolkin (88')
Yearwood (44'), Reyes (78'), Duncan (82')

Durkin (36'), Williams (54')
Aug 7, 2022 12.30am
rhs 2.0


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