Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a DC United win with a probability of 53.62%. A win for Sporting Kansas City had a probability of 23.7% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a DC United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.07%) and 2-0 (8.42%). The likeliest Sporting Kansas City win was 1-2 (6.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for DC United in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for DC United.
| Result | ||
| DC United | Draw | Sporting Kansas City |
| 53.62% ( | 22.68% ( | 23.7% ( |
| Both teams to score 57.98% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.1% ( | 41.9% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.7% ( | 64.31% ( |
| DC United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.38% ( | 15.62% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.39% ( | 44.62% ( |
| Sporting Kansas City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.71% ( | 31.29% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.35% ( | 67.65% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| DC United | Draw | Sporting Kansas City |
| 2-1 @ 9.79% ( 1-0 @ 9.07% ( 2-0 @ 8.42% ( 3-1 @ 6.06% ( 3-0 @ 5.21% ( 3-2 @ 3.52% ( 4-1 @ 2.81% ( 4-0 @ 2.42% ( 4-2 @ 1.63% ( 5-1 @ 1.04% ( Other @ 3.63% Total : 53.62% | 1-1 @ 10.54% ( 2-2 @ 5.69% ( 0-0 @ 4.89% ( 3-3 @ 1.36% ( Other @ 0.2% Total : 22.68% | 1-2 @ 6.12% ( 0-1 @ 5.68% ( 0-2 @ 3.3% ( 1-3 @ 2.37% ( 2-3 @ 2.2% ( 0-3 @ 1.28% ( Other @ 2.75% Total : 23.7% |