Major League Soccer

Apr 12, 2025 at 9.30pm UK

Spectrum Stadium

Orlando City
0 - 0
NY Red Bulls

Pasalic (19'), Schlegel (31')

Ngoma (47'), Stroud (64'), Javier Valencia Arauz (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's MLS Playoffs clash between Orlando City and New York Red Bulls, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Orlando City

All competitions

Last Game: Philadelphia 0-0 Orlando City
Sunday, April 6 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

New York Red Bulls

All competitions

Last Game: NY Red Bulls 2-1 Chicago Fire
Sunday, April 6 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orlando City win with a probability of 57.86%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for New York Red Bulls had a probability of 20.24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Orlando City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.76%) and 2-0 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.27%), while for a New York Red Bulls win it was 1-2 (5.41%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.

Result
Orlando City	Draw	New York Red Bulls
57.86% ( -0.02)	21.9% ( 0)	20.24% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 55.7% (

0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.38% (

0.02)

42.62% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.97% (

0.02)

65.03% (

-0.02)

Orlando City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.53% (

14.47%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.56% (

42.44%

New York Red Bulls Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.12% (

0.04)

34.88% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.38% (

0.04)

71.62% (

-0.03)

Score Analysis

Orlando City 57.86%

New York Red Bulls 20.24%

Draw 21.9%

Orlando City	Draw	New York Red Bulls
2-1 @ 9.93% ( -0) 1-0 @ 9.76% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 9.43% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 6.4% ( -0) 3-0 @ 6.08% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.37% ( 0) 4-1 @ 3.09% 4-0 @ 2.94% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.63% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.2% 5-0 @ 1.14% ( -0) Other @ 2.91% Total : 57.86%	1-1 @ 10.27% 2-2 @ 5.23% ( 0) 0-0 @ 5.05% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.18% ( 0) Other @ 0.16% Total : 21.9%	1-2 @ 5.41% ( 0) 0-1 @ 5.32% 0-2 @ 2.8% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.9% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.84% ( 0) 0-3 @ 0.98% ( 0) Other @ 1.99% Total : 20.24%