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Philadelphia Union
Major League Soccer
Apr 6, 2025 at 12.30am UK
Subaru Park
Orlando City

Philadelphia
0 - 0
Orlando City


Damiani (65'), Damiani (65'), Harriel (74'), Harriel (74'), Sullivan (76'), Sullivan (76'), Vassilev (90+3'), Vassilev (90+3')
FT

Jansson (35'), Jansson (35'), Muriel (52'), Muriel (52'), Gerbet (58'), Gerbet (58'), Dan Thor­halls­son (75'), Dan Thor­halls­son (75'), Gallese (90+4'), Gallese (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's MLS clash between Philadelphia Union and Orlando City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Inter Miami 2-1 Philadelphia
Saturday, March 29 at 11.30pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: LA Galaxy 1-2 Orlando City
Sunday, March 30 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 42.13%. A win for Orlando City has a probability of 33.93% and a draw has a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (7.64%) and 2-0 (6.19%). The likeliest Orlando City win is 1-2 (7.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.95%).

Result
Philadelphia UnionDrawOrlando City
42.13% (0.744 0.74)23.93% (0.033999999999999 0.03)33.93% (-0.78 -0.78)
Both teams to score 61.12% (-0.357 -0.36)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.92% (-0.373 -0.37)41.08% (0.371 0.37)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.53% (-0.381 -0.38)63.47% (0.38 0.38)
Philadelphia Union Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.25% (0.173 0.17)19.75% (-0.174 -0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.21% (0.279 0.28)51.78% (-0.281 -0.28)
Orlando City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.16% (-0.611 -0.61)23.84% (0.608 0.61)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.97% (-0.883 -0.88)58.02% (0.88 0.88)
Score Analysis
    Philadelphia Union 42.13%
    Orlando City 33.93%
    Draw 23.93%
Philadelphia UnionDrawOrlando City
2-1 @ 8.88% (0.089 0.09)
1-0 @ 7.64% (0.169 0.17)
2-0 @ 6.19% (0.17 0.17)
3-1 @ 4.8% (0.074 0.07)
3-2 @ 3.44% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.35% (0.11 0.11)
4-1 @ 1.95% (0.04 0.04)
4-2 @ 1.4% (0.004 0)
4-0 @ 1.36% (0.052 0.05)
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 42.13%
1-1 @ 10.95% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
2-2 @ 6.37% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
0-0 @ 4.71% (0.079000000000001 0.08)
3-3 @ 1.65% (-0.034 -0.03)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 23.93%
1-2 @ 7.85% (-0.105 -0.11)
0-1 @ 6.75% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-2 @ 4.84% (-0.092 -0.09)
1-3 @ 3.75% (-0.118 -0.12)
2-3 @ 3.04% (-0.079 -0.08)
0-3 @ 2.31% (-0.086 -0.09)
1-4 @ 1.35% (-0.067 -0.07)
2-4 @ 1.09% (-0.048 -0.05)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 33.93%

Head to Head
Feb 23, 2025 12.30am
Orlando City
2-4
Philadelphia
Pasalic (8', 79')
Araujo (31')
Baribo (23', 64'), Gazdag (48'), Uhre (51')
Uhre (33'), Lukic (58')
Oct 3, 2024 12.30am
Orlando City
2-1
Philadelphia
Torres (57'), McGuire (64')
Schlegel (19'), Torres (69'), McGuire (90+5'), Araujo (90+2')
Sullivan (72')
Gazdag (68'), Wagner (74'), Uhre (90+1')
May 12, 2024 12.30am
Philadelphia
2-3
Orlando City
Uhre (12'), Gazdag (66' pen.)
Lowe (81')
McGuire (21'), Muriel (42', 46')
Angulo (45+5'), Araujo (87'), Smith (90')
Jun 22, 2023 12.30am
Orlando City
2-2
Philadelphia
McGuire (13'), Ojeda (54')
Schlegel (48'), Stajduhar (61'), Enrique (82'), Kara (88')
McGlynn (60'), Andres Martinez (90')
Mbaizo (28'), Flach (38'), Carranza (61'), Wagner (82')
Mar 25, 2023 11.30pm