Major League Soccer

Mar 29, 2025 at 11.30pm UK

Inter Miami CF Stadium

Inter Miami
2 - 1
Philadelphia

Taylor (23'), Messi (57')
Cremaschi (21'), Bright (76'), Falcon (79'), Alba (90+4'), Suarez (90+5'), Busquets (90+2')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Gazdag (80')
Baribo (45'), Glesnes (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's MLS Playoffs clash between Inter Miami and Philadelphia Union, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Inter Miami

All competitions

Major League Soccer

Last Game: Atlanta 1-2 Inter Miami
Sunday, March 16 at 11pm in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Philadelphia Union

All competitions

Last Game: Philadelphia 1-0 St Louis City
Saturday, March 22 at 11.30pm in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Miami win with a probability of 54.85%. A win for Philadelphia Union had a probability of 24.55% and a draw had a probability of 20.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Miami win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.69%) and 2-0 (6.63%). The likeliest Philadelphia Union win was 1-2 (6.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Inter Miami in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Inter Miami.

Result
Inter Miami	Draw	Philadelphia Union
54.85% ( -0.16)	20.59% ( 0.04)	24.55% ( 0.12)

Both teams to score 66.68% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

69.04% (

-0.05)

30.95% (

0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

47.66% (

-0.06)

52.33% (

0.06)

Inter Miami Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.47% (

-0.06)

11.52% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

63.58% (

-0.13)

36.42% (

0.13)

Philadelphia Union Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.36% (

0.06)

24.63% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.85% (

0.08)

59.14% (

-0.08)

Score Analysis

Inter Miami 54.86%

Philadelphia Union 24.55%

Draw 20.59%

Inter Miami	Draw	Philadelphia Union
2-1 @ 9.28% ( -0) 3-1 @ 6.69% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 6.63% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 6.13% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.77% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 4.69% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 3.61% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 2.58% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 2.53% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.56% ( -0.01) 4-3 @ 1.18% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.11% ( -0.01) 5-2 @ 1.09% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.99% Total : 54.86%	1-1 @ 8.59% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.5% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 2.84% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 2.19% ( 0) Other @ 0.47% Total : 20.59%	1-2 @ 6.02% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 3.98% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 3.04% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.81% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 2.79% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.3% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.06% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 0.99% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.57% Total : 24.55%