Major League Soccer

Mar 22, 2025 at 11.30pm UK

Subaru Park

Philadelphia
1 - 0
St Louis City

Glavinovich (8')
Glavinovich (26'), Mbaizo (58'), Rick (81')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Hiebert (19'), Durkin (35'), Lowen (55'), Morales (85')
Lowen (66')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Philadelphia Union and St Louis City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Philadelphia Union

All competitions

Last Game: Philadelphia 1-3 Nashville
Sunday, March 16 at 6.25pm in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

St Louis City

All competitions

Last Game: St Louis City 1-0 Seattle
Sunday, March 16 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 56.06%. A win for St Louis City had a probability of 22.95% and a draw had a probability of 21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.54%) and 1-0 (7.23%). The likeliest St Louis City win was 1-2 (5.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Philadelphia Union would win this match.

Result
Philadelphia Union	Draw	St Louis City
56.06% ( -0.02)	20.98% ( 0)	22.95% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 63.13% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

65.3% (

-0)

34.69% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

43.35% (

-0)

56.65% (

-0.01)

Philadelphia Union Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.59% (

-0.01)

12.4% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

61.7% (

-0.01)

38.29% (

0.01)

St Louis City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.07% (

0.01)

27.92% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.45% (

0.02)

63.54% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Philadelphia Union 56.06%

St Louis City 22.95%

Draw 20.98%

Philadelphia Union	Draw	St Louis City
2-1 @ 9.62% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.54% ( -0) 1-0 @ 7.23% ( -0) 3-1 @ 6.7% ( -0) 3-0 @ 5.25% ( -0) 3-2 @ 4.27% ( 0) 4-1 @ 3.49% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.74% ( -0) 4-2 @ 2.23% 5-1 @ 1.46% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.14% ( -0) 4-3 @ 0.95% ( 0) 5-2 @ 0.93% ( -0) Other @ 2.51% Total : 56.06%	1-1 @ 9.22% ( 0) 2-2 @ 6.14% ( 0) 0-0 @ 3.46% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.82% ( 0) Other @ 0.34% Total : 20.98%	1-2 @ 5.88% ( 0) 0-1 @ 4.42% ( 0) 0-2 @ 2.82% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.61% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.5% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.2% ( 0) Other @ 3.53% Total : 22.95%