Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Seattle Sounders win with a probability of 37.8%. A win for St Louis City had a probability of 37.13% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Seattle Sounders win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.33%) and 0-2 (5.95%). The likeliest St Louis City win was 2-1 (8.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-0 win for St Louis City in this match.
| Result | ||
| St Louis City | Draw | Seattle Sounders |
| 37.13% ( | 25.06% ( | 37.8% ( |
| Both teams to score 57.54% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.06% ( | 45.93% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.75% ( | 68.24% ( |
| St Louis City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.67% ( | 24.32% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.29% ( | 58.7% ( |
| Seattle Sounders Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.03% ( | 23.96% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.8% ( | 58.19% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| St Louis City | Draw | Seattle Sounders |
| 2-1 @ 8.32% ( 1-0 @ 8.24% ( 2-0 @ 5.83% ( 3-1 @ 3.92% ( 3-2 @ 2.8% ( 3-0 @ 2.75% ( 4-1 @ 1.39% ( 4-2 @ 0.99% ( 4-0 @ 0.97% ( Other @ 1.93% Total : 37.13% | 1-1 @ 11.77% ( 2-2 @ 5.95% ( 0-0 @ 5.83% ( 3-3 @ 1.33% ( Other @ 0.18% Total : 25.06% | 1-2 @ 8.41% ( 0-1 @ 8.33% ( 0-2 @ 5.95% ( 1-3 @ 4.01% ( 0-3 @ 2.83% ( 2-3 @ 2.83% ( 1-4 @ 1.43% ( 0-4 @ 1.01% ( 2-4 @ 1.01% ( Other @ 2% Total : 37.8% |