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St Louis City
Major League Soccer
Mar 16, 2025 at 12.30am UK
CityPark
Seattle Sounders

St Louis City
1 - 0
Seattle

Lowen (15', 15')
Kessler (71'), Kessler (71'), Becher (81'), Becher (81')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Ragen (14'), Ragen (14'), Ferreira (45+1'), Ferreira (45+1'), Vargas (64'), Vargas (64'), Roldan (83'), Roldan (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between St Louis City and Seattle Sounders, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: LA Galaxy 0-3 St Louis City
Sunday, March 9 at 11pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Cruz Azul 4-1 Seattle
Wednesday, March 12 at 12.30am in CONCACAF Champions League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Seattle Sounders win with a probability of 37.8%. A win for St Louis City had a probability of 37.13% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Seattle Sounders win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.33%) and 0-2 (5.95%). The likeliest St Louis City win was 2-1 (8.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-0 win for St Louis City in this match.

Result
St Louis CityDrawSeattle Sounders
37.13% (-0.095999999999997 -0.1)25.06% (-0.028000000000002 -0.03)37.8% (0.121 0.12)
Both teams to score 57.54% (0.094000000000001 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.06% (0.123 0.12)45.93% (-0.126 -0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.75% (0.117 0.12)68.24% (-0.11999999999999 -0.12)
St Louis City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.67% (0.0030000000000001 0)24.32% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.29% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)58.7% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)
Seattle Sounders Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.03% (0.119 0.12)23.96% (-0.121 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.8% (0.172 0.17)58.19% (-0.174 -0.17)
Score Analysis
    St Louis City 37.13%
    Seattle Sounders 37.8%
    Draw 25.06%
St Louis CityDrawSeattle Sounders
2-1 @ 8.32% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-0 @ 8.24% (-0.042 -0.04)
2-0 @ 5.83% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-1 @ 3.92% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 2.8% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.75% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.39% (-0.002 -0)
4-2 @ 0.99% (0.002 0)
4-0 @ 0.97% (-0.005 -0.01)
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 37.13%
1-1 @ 11.77% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.95% (0.013 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.83% (-0.031 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.33% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 25.06%
1-2 @ 8.41% (0.016 0.02)
0-1 @ 8.33% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
0-2 @ 5.95% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-3 @ 4.01% (0.022 0.02)
0-3 @ 2.83% (0.015 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.83% (0.016 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.43% (0.012 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.01% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.01% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2%
Total : 37.8%

How you voted: St Louis City vs Seattle

St Louis City
40.0%
Draw
40.0%
Seattle Sounders
20.0%
5
Head to Head
Jul 18, 2024 3.30am
Seattle
2-0
St Louis City
Parker (27' og.), Bell (49')
Rothrock (90+2')

Durkin (4'), Totland (38')
May 26, 2024 1.30am
St Louis City
1-2
Seattle
Totland (82')
Vassilev (35'), Blom (39'), Durkin (48')
Hiebert (66' og.), Morris (69')
Kossa-Rienzi (80'), Gomez Andrade (85')
Oct 22, 2023 2am
St Louis City
0-2
Seattle

Parker (75')
Rusnak (23'), Parker (38' og.)
Gomez Andrade (18'), Roldan (32'), Ragen (71'), Chu (80'), Atencio (87'), Lodeiro (90+5')
Apr 9, 2023 3.30am