Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles Galaxy win with a probability of 55.24%. A win for St Louis City had a probability of 23.48% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles Galaxy win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.57%) and 1-0 (7.39%). The likeliest St Louis City win was 1-2 (6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.42%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Los Angeles Galaxy | Draw | St Louis City |
| 55.24% ( | 21.27% ( | 23.48% ( |
| Both teams to score 62.73% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.48% ( | 35.52% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.43% ( | 57.57% ( |
| Los Angeles Galaxy Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.09% ( | 12.91% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.65% ( | 39.35% ( |
| St Louis City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.04% ( | 27.96% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.4% ( | 63.6% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Los Angeles Galaxy | Draw | St Louis City |
| 2-1 @ 9.64% ( 2-0 @ 7.57% ( 1-0 @ 7.39% ( 3-1 @ 6.58% ( 3-0 @ 5.16% ( 3-2 @ 4.19% ( 4-1 @ 3.37% ( 4-0 @ 2.64% ( 4-2 @ 2.14% ( 5-1 @ 1.38% ( 5-0 @ 1.08% ( 4-3 @ 0.91% ( Other @ 3.2% Total : 55.24% | 1-1 @ 9.42% ( 2-2 @ 6.14% ( 0-0 @ 3.61% ( 3-3 @ 1.78% ( Other @ 0.32% Total : 21.27% | 1-2 @ 6% ( 0-1 @ 4.6% ( 0-2 @ 2.93% ( 2-3 @ 2.61% ( 1-3 @ 2.55% ( 0-3 @ 1.25% ( Other @ 3.54% Total : 23.48% |