Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Herediano win with a probability of 43.72%. A win for Los Angeles Galaxy had a probability of 32% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Herediano win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.39%) and 2-0 (6.75%). The likeliest Los Angeles Galaxy win was 1-2 (7.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Herediano would win this match.