CONCACAF Champions League | Round of 16 | 1st Leg
Mar 6, 2025 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Eladio Rosabal Cordero
LA Galaxy

Herediano
1 - 0
LA Galaxy

Aguilar (65', 65')
Amador Lopez (84'), Amador Lopez (84'), Ismael Walker Cruz (85'), Ismael Walker Cruz (85'), Quiros (90'), Quiros (90')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Ramos Jr. (30'), Ramos Jr. (30'), Yoshida (48'), Yoshida (48'), Cerrillo (67'), Cerrillo (67'), Aude (83'), Aude (83')
Coverage of the CONCACAF Champions League Round of 16 clash between Herediano and Los Angeles Galaxy.

Form, Standings, Stats

Herediano

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Last Game: Salt Lake 1-2 Herediano
Thursday, February 27 at 1.30am in CONCACAF Champions League
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Los Angeles Galaxy

All competitions
Last Game: Vancouver 2-1 LA Galaxy
Sunday, March 2 at 10pm in Major League Soccer

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Herediano win with a probability of 43.72%. A win for Los Angeles Galaxy had a probability of 32% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Herediano win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.39%) and 2-0 (6.75%). The likeliest Los Angeles Galaxy win was 1-2 (7.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Herediano would win this match.

Result
HeredianoDrawLos Angeles Galaxy
43.72% (-0.596 -0.6)24.28% (0.127 0.13)32% (0.47 0.47)
Both teams to score 59.16% (-0.234 -0.23)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.66% (-0.4 -0.4)43.33% (0.401 0.4)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.27% (-0.395 -0.39)65.73% (0.396 0.4)
Herediano Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.01% (-0.42099999999999 -0.42)19.98% (0.422 0.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.83% (-0.685 -0.68)52.16% (0.685 0.69)
Los Angeles Galaxy Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.94% (0.095999999999989 0.1)26.06% (-0.095000000000002 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.89% (0.128 0.13)61.1% (-0.128 -0.13)
Score Analysis
    Herediano 43.72%
    Los Angeles Galaxy 32%
    Draw 24.27%
HeredianoDrawLos Angeles Galaxy
2-1 @ 9.08% (-0.053999999999998 -0.05)
1-0 @ 8.39% (0.038 0.04)
2-0 @ 6.75% (-0.058999999999999 -0.06)
3-1 @ 4.87% (-0.093999999999999 -0.09)
3-0 @ 3.62% (-0.08 -0.08)
3-2 @ 3.28% (-0.054 -0.05)
4-1 @ 1.96% (-0.064 -0.06)
4-0 @ 1.46% (-0.052 -0.05)
4-2 @ 1.32% (-0.04 -0.04)
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 43.72%
1-1 @ 11.27% (0.08 0.08)
2-2 @ 6.11% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 5.21% (0.091 0.09)
3-3 @ 1.47% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 24.27%
1-2 @ 7.58% (0.075 0.08)
0-1 @ 7% (0.141 0.14)
0-2 @ 4.71% (0.108 0.11)
1-3 @ 3.4% (0.044 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.74% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 2.11% (0.054 0.05)
1-4 @ 1.14% (0.018 0.02)
2-4 @ 0.92% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 32%