Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Salt Lake win with a probability of 61.71%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Herediano had a probability of 16.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Salt Lake win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.83%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.13%), while for a Herediano win it was 0-1 (5.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.