Real Salt Lake
CONCACAF Champions League | First Round | 2nd Leg
Feb 27, 2025 at 1.30am UK
Rio Tinto Stadium

Salt Lake
1 - 2
Herediano

Ajago (26', 26')
Vera (73'), Vera (73'), Cabral (90+8'), Cabral (90+8')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Aguilar (70', 70'), Vega Gutierrez (90+9' pen., 90+9' pen.)
Alfonso Rodriguez Aguilera (86'), Rodriguez Munoz (86'), Alfonso Rodriguez Aguilera (86'), Rodriguez Munoz (86'), Vega Gutierrez (90+10'), Vega Gutierrez (90+10')
Coverage of the CONCACAF Champions League First Round clash between Real Salt Lake and Herediano.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Earthquakes 4-0 Salt Lake
Sunday, February 23 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Herediano 0-0 Salt Lake
Wednesday, February 19 at 11.30pm in CONCACAF Champions League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Salt Lake win with a probability of 61.71%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Herediano had a probability of 16.96%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Salt Lake win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.83%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.13%), while for a Herediano win it was 0-1 (5.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.

Result
Real Salt LakeDrawHerediano
61.71% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)21.33% (0.041999999999998 0.04)16.96% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
Both teams to score 51.5% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.77% (-0.104 -0.1)45.23% (0.106 0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.43% (-0.1 -0.1)67.57% (0.101 0.1)
Real Salt Lake Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.88% (-0.058000000000007 -0.06)14.12% (0.061 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.23% (-0.119 -0.12)41.77% (0.122 0.12)
Herediano Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.96% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)40.04% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.32% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)76.68% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Score Analysis
    Real Salt Lake 61.7%
    Herediano 16.96%
    Draw 21.33%
Real Salt LakeDrawHerediano
1-0 @ 11.06% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
2-0 @ 10.83%
2-1 @ 9.92% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
3-0 @ 7.07% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-1 @ 6.47% (-0.015 -0.01)
4-0 @ 3.46% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-1 @ 3.17% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.96% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.45% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.35% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.24% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 61.7%
1-1 @ 10.13% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
0-0 @ 5.65% (0.025 0.03)
2-2 @ 4.54% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-3 @ 0.9% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 21.33%
0-1 @ 5.18% (0.023000000000001 0.02)
1-2 @ 4.64% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
0-2 @ 2.37% (0.01 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.42% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 1.39%
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 16.96%

Head to Head
Feb 19, 2025 11.30pm
First Round 1st Leg
Herediano
0-0
Salt Lake
Montes (36'), Vega Gutierrez (54'), Luis Perez (90+3')
rhs 2.0


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