Major League Soccer

Mar 16, 2025 at 6.25pm UK

Subaru Park

Philadelphia
1 - 3
Nashville

Lukic (33')
Wagner (88'), Damiani (90+3')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Surridge (15'), Qasem (44'), Williams (82' pen.)
Yazbek (45+2'), Tagseth (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Philadelphia Union and Nashville SC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Philadelphia Union

All competitions

Last Game: New England 0-2 Philadelphia
Sunday, March 9 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Nashville SC

All competitions

Last Game: Nashville 2-0 Portland
Sunday, March 9 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 48.86%. A win for Nashville SC had a probability of 27.03% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.52%) and 2-0 (8.02%). The likeliest Nashville SC win was 0-1 (6.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.

Result
Philadelphia Union	Draw	Nashville SC
48.86% ( -0.04)	24.11% ( 0.05)	27.03% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 56.55% (

-0.2)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.65% (

-0.26)

45.35% (

0.26)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.31% (

-0.25)

67.69% (

0.25)

Philadelphia Union Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.35% (

-0.12)

18.65% (

0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.03% (

-0.2)

49.97% (

0.19)

Nashville SC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.52% (

-0.15)

30.48% (

0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.31% (

-0.18)

66.69% (

0.17)

Score Analysis

Philadelphia Union 48.86%

Nashville SC 27.03%

Draw 24.1%

Philadelphia Union	Draw	Nashville SC
1-0 @ 9.55% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 9.52% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.02% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 5.33% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 4.49% 3-2 @ 3.17% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 2.24% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.88% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.33% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.34% Total : 48.86%	1-1 @ 11.34% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 5.68% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 5.66% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.25% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.1%	0-1 @ 6.75% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 6.74% ( -0) 0-2 @ 4.01% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.67% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.24% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.59% ( -0) Other @ 3.03% Total : 27.03%