Major League Soccer
Mar 16, 2025 6.25pm
1
3
HT : 1 2
FT Subaru Park
  • Jovan Lukic 33' goal
  • Kai Wagner 88' yellowcard
  • Bruno Damiani 90'+3' yellowcard
  • Olwethu Makhanya 90'+12' redcard
  • goal Sam Surridge 15'
  • goal Ahmed Qasem 44'
  • yellowcard Patrick Yazbek 45'+2'
  • goal Duncan Williams 82'
  • yellowcard Edvard Tagseth 87'

Philadelphia Union vs Nashville SC - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Philadelphia Union

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Mar 9, 2025 12.30am
New England 0 - 2 Philadelphia
Goals scored
54
Top scorer
Tai Baribo

Nashville SC

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Mar 9, 2025 1.30am
Nashville 2 - 0 Portland
Goals scored
55
Top scorer
Sam Surridge

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 48.86%. A win for Nashville SC had a probability of 27.03% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.52%) and 2-0 (8.02%). The likeliest Nashville SC win was 0-1 (6.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.

Result

Philadelphia Union 48.86% (-0.05)
Draw 24.11% (+0.06)
Nashville SC 27.03% (-0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.55% (-0.21)

Goals

Over 2.5 54.65% (-0.27)
Under 2.5 45.35% (+0.26)
Over 3.5 32.31% (-0.26)
Under 3.5 67.69% (+0.25)
Over 4.5 16.3% (-0.19)
Under 4.5 83.7% (+0.18)

Philadelphia Union Goals

Over 0.5 81.35% (-0.12)
Under 0.5 18.65% (+0.12)
Over 1.5 50.03% (-0.20)
Under 1.5 49.97% (+0.20)

Nashville SC Goals

Over 0.5 69.52% (-0.16)
Under 0.5 30.48% (+0.15)
Over 1.5 33.31% (-0.18)
Under 1.5 66.69% (+0.18)

Score analysis

Philadelphia Union 48.86%
Draw 24.1%
Nashville SC 27.03%
Philadelphia Union
1-0 @ 9.55% (+0.08)
2-1 @ 9.52% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 8.02% (+0.03)
3-1 @ 5.33% (-0.03)
3-0 @ 4.49%
3-2 @ 3.17% (-0.03)
4-1 @ 2.24% (-0.02)
4-0 @ 1.88% (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.33% (-0.02)
Other @ 3.34%
Total : 48.86%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.34% (+0.04)
0-0 @ 5.68% (+0.07)
2-2 @ 5.66% (-0.03)
3-3 @ 1.25% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.1%
Nashville SC
0-1 @ 6.75% (+0.05)
1-2 @ 6.74% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 4.01% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 2.67% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 2.24% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 1.59% (-0.01)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 27.03%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer
Jul 21, 2024 12.30am
3
0
HT : 4 0
FT Subaru Park
  • Damion Lowe 2' yellowcard
  • Damion Lowe 2' yellowcard
  • Daniel Gazdag 10' goal
  • Daniel Gazdag 10' goal
  • Mikael Uhre 20' yellowcard
  • Mikael Uhre 20' yellowcard
  • Daniel Gazdag 39' goal
  • Daniel Gazdag 39' goal
  • Jack Elliott 61' yellowcard
  • Jack Elliott 61' yellowcard
  • Daniel Gazdag 89' goal
  • Daniel Gazdag 89' goal
  • yellowcard Alex Muyl 60'
  • yellowcard Alex Muyl 60'
  • yellowcard Josh Bauer 67'
  • yellowcard Josh Bauer 67'
  • yellowcard Anibal Godoy 76'
  • yellowcard Anibal Godoy 76'
Major League Soccer
Apr 7, 2024 1.30am
1
2
HT : 2 0
FT First Tennessee Park
  • Sam Surridge 42' goal
  • Sam Surridge 42' goal
  • Anibal Godoy 84' yellowcard
  • Anibal Godoy 84' yellowcard
  • goal Julian Carranza 62'
  • goal Julian Carranza 62'
  • goal Daniel Gazdag 90'
  • goal Daniel Gazdag 90'
Major League Soccer
Oct 8, 2023 12.30am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Subaru Park
  • Jose Andres Martinez 24' yellowcard
  • Jose Andres Martinez 24' yellowcard
  • Jakob Glesnes 90' yellowcard
  • Jakob Glesnes 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jack Maher 18'
  • yellowcard Jack Maher 18'
  • yellowcard Walker Zimmerman 72'
  • yellowcard Walker Zimmerman 72'
Major League Soccer
Jul 13, 2023 1.30am
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT First Tennessee Park
  • goal Daniel Gazdag 40'
  • goal Daniel Gazdag 40'
  • goal Daniel Gazdag 84'
  • goal Daniel Gazdag 84'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 3
May 1, 2022 9.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Daniel Lovitz 33' yellowcard
  • Alex Muyl 37' yellowcard
  • Sean Davis 49' yellowcard
  • Randall Leal 76' yellowcard
  • Randall Leal 85' goal
  • yellowcard Kai Wagner 60'
  • yellowcard Jose Andres Martinez 62'
  • goal Mikael Uhre 66'
  • yellowcard Andre Blake 84'
Major League Soccer
Nov 28, 2021 10.30pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
ET
  • Daniel Gazdag 45'+2' goal
  • goal Duncan Williams 38'
  • yellowcard Randall Leal 90'+5'