Major League Soccer

Mar 16, 2025 at 11pm UK

Mercedes-Benz Stadium

Atlanta
1 - 2
Inter Miami

Latte Lath (11')
Amador (45'), Rode Gregersen (62'), Mosquera (90+2')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Messi (20'), Picault (89')
Allen (42')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Atlanta United and Inter Miami, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atlanta United

All competitions

Major League Soccer

Last Game: Atlanta 0-0 NY Red Bulls
Sunday, March 9 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Inter Miami

All competitions

Major League Soccer

Last Game: Cavalier 0-2 Inter Miami
Friday, March 14 at 12am in CONCACAF Champions League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 40.92%. A win for Inter Miami had a probability of 35.35% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.2%) and 2-0 (5.84%). The likeliest Inter Miami win was 1-2 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Inter Miami would win this match.

Result
Atlanta United	Draw	Inter Miami
40.92% ( -6.18)	23.74% ( 0.5)	35.35% ( 5.68)

Both teams to score 62.22% (

0.62)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.21% (

-0.21)

39.79% (

0.21)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.85% (

-0.21)

62.15% (

0.22)

Atlanta United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.25% (

-2.64)

19.75% (

2.64)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.21% (

-4.47)

51.79% (

4.47)

Inter Miami Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.53% (

3.22)

22.47% (

-3.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.98% (

4.58)

56.02% (

-4.58)

Score Analysis

Atlanta United 40.92%

Inter Miami 35.35%

Draw 23.73%

Atlanta United	Draw	Inter Miami
2-1 @ 8.72% ( -0.59) 1-0 @ 7.2% ( -0.56) 2-0 @ 5.84% ( -1.01) 3-1 @ 4.71% ( -0.77) 3-2 @ 3.52% ( -0.21) 3-0 @ 3.16% ( -0.88) 4-1 @ 1.91% ( -0.51) 4-2 @ 1.43% ( -0.22) 4-0 @ 1.28% ( -0.5) Other @ 3.16% Total : 40.92%	1-1 @ 10.74% ( 0.2) 2-2 @ 6.51% ( 0.18) 0-0 @ 4.44% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 1.75% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.29% Total : 23.73%	1-2 @ 8.02% ( 0.86) 0-1 @ 6.63% ( 0.65) 0-2 @ 4.95% ( 0.89) 1-3 @ 3.99% ( 0.75) 2-3 @ 3.24% ( 0.37) 0-3 @ 2.46% ( 0.62) 1-4 @ 1.49% ( 0.39) 2-4 @ 1.21% ( 0.24) 0-4 @ 0.92% ( 0.29) Other @ 2.44% Total : 35.35%